NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59b5ef68f2025f5f9a349581be50bb95cd02863e52838da5cd84167ef45cd050
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Hornets | 72c | 6,547$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.67 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed 76ers | 27c | 2,793$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.86 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…5670backed 76ers | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets | 58c | 710.12$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.25 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked 76ers | 32c | 673$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.36 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed 76ers | 11c | 605.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6e…23a5backed Hornets | 64c | 520$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…6e5ebacked 76ers | 36c | 520$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Hornets | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked 76ers | 27c | 499.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked 76ers | 26c | 498.02$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Hornets | 63c | 458.88$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.78 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed 76ers | 37c | 408.09$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked 76ers | 30c | 407.73$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.32 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed 76ers | 42c | 403.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Hornets | 65c | 399.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Hornets | 63c | 373.25$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed 76ers | 37c | 307.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed 76ers | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Hornets | 76c | 257.73$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed 76ers | 23c | 245.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked 76ers | 42c | 240.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed 76ers | 42c | 239.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed 76ers | 39c | 230.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…c51dbacked 76ers | 10c | 213.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed 76ers | 35c | 199.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed 76ers | 37c | 177.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Hornets | 59c | 147.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked 76ers | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed 76ers | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed 76ers | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked 76ers | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed 76ers | 39c | 50.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed 76ers | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked 76ers | 38c | 40.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…9ddbbacked 76ers | 38c | 39.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed 76ers | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf241…7b2cbacked 76ers | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…2a69backed Hornets | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…12fabacked Hornets | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…d2febacked Hornets | 64c | 18.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.