MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40338176ec660c05170632c6113dfe77ac38f9abe025e7123d5f1735d200fc2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 51c | 76,764$39,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,146.6 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mets | 49c | 47,786$23,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,407.37 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mets | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,750 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Braves | 32c | 19,976$6,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,456.85 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Mets | 67c | 10,347$6,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.97 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mets | 49c | 9,195$4,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.45 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Mets | 50c | 8,027$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.84 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Braves | 32c | 4,648$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.71 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mets | 48c | 4,416$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.52 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 11c | 3,281$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.02 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 49c | 3,219$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.98 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Mets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 50c | 2,890$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 55c | 2,722$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.97 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Braves | 52c | 2,655$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.36 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Braves | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Braves | 53c | 1,265$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Braves | 3c | 1,075$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Braves | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Braves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mets | 48c | 999.92$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.96 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 25c | 839.02$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 49c | 764.16$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.72 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Mets | 48c | 749.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 37c | 650$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mets | 48c | 624.77$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.1 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Braves | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves | 51c | 545.9$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.41 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1b…7b0ebacked Braves | 52c | 498.08$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…7c8cbacked Mets | 49c | 497.96$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…2807backed Mets | 49c | 495.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…5b83backed Braves | 52c | 494.23$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Braves | 52c | 450$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Braves | 5c | 440$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Braves | 49c | 421.97$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.76 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Braves | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Braves | 35c | 388.85$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Braves | 49c | 345.71$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Mets | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Braves | 51c | 291$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.08 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 19c | 275$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves | 52c | 267$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.52 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Mets | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Braves | 53c | 245.82$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mets | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mets | 48c | 208.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Mets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…31d4backed Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…f551backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…99aabacked Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…a1c0backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9459…e52bbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…5145backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…0439backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…9335backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…c18bbacked Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…122dbacked Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…8325backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…2522backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…94d4backed Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…12e8backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…0082backed Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…f811backed Mets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mets vs. Bravesthis page
- Mets vs. Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Mets (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.