WNBA · resolved market
Sun vs. Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x321cf2ec3792e01a361502f22724a5e89c1d5fc3a6502a050f0ef3425842c2ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunof Sun, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Sky | 29c | 1,807$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.06 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Sky | 18c | 1,672$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.15 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sun | 77c | 1,172$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.78 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Sky | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sun | 71c | 950.19$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.29 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Sun | 45c | 892.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.87 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sky | 55c | 799.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sky | 56c | 699.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Sun | 44c | 519.67$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.26 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Sky | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Sky | 5c | 337.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Sky | 30c | 337.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Sky | 32c | 315.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Sun | 53c | 279.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sun | 60c | 236.11$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Sky | 55c | 233.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Sky | 53c | 225.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sun | 45c | 224.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Sky | 15c | 215.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sun | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Sky | 29c | 196.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…83a6backed Sun | 77c | 133.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bb…cddcbacked Sky | 19c | 132.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sun | 41c | 125.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Sky | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Sky | 15c | 123.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Sky | 58c | 102.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Sky | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Sun | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Sun | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sun | 46c | 97.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Sky | 17c | 97.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Sky | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Sun | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Sun | 77c | 72.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Sun | 43c | 68.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Sun | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…b328backed Sky | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…234cbacked Sky | 58c | 34.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Sky | 56c | 18.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.