NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43b084f2521e1f0e936f41414f90883d8977cb61ef400af60c7ddb7ba15cc480
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 23c | 3,181$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.93 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801c…e723backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 2,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…a8bdbacked Trail Blazers | 39c | 2,424$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…abf0backed Warriors | 61c | 1,706$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8205…7dfabacked Warriors | 61c | 1,691$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…34d2backed Warriors | 61c | 1,590$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers | 73c | 970.12$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.93 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Trail Blazers | 69c | 488.43$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Warriors | 61c | 333.07$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Warriors | 60c | 331$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.13 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 321.72$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.72 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Warriors | 41c | 288.17$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 250.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Trail Blazers | 42c | 202.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 195.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Warriors | 56c | 138.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 48c | 131.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 102.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…0674backed Warriors | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Trail Blazers | 42c | 99.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 85.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 80.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…12fabacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 76.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 58c | 71.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Trail Blazers | 42c | 66.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Trail Blazers | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Warriors | 33c | 59.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb053…92c6backed Trail Blazers | 71c | 55.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | -20.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e5…1dd0backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 416 | 54.8%228 W · 188 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Warriors | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf168…b80dbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 35.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 35.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…e776backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed56…f524backed Warriors | 44c | 33.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Warriors | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Warriors | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…0539backed Warriors | 61c | 29.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Warriors | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…46a1backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 25.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 345 | 48.7%168 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Warriors | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Warriors | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.