MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc16186b6b318c456fc6ee0fb03a0b82fc31633b8e28ff984d868bfe659f88f1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Blue Jays, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb58e…d570backed Blue Jays | 55c | 36,334$19,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,977.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 45c | 34,410$15,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,925.76 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 46c | 15,276$7,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,102.28 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Marlins | 59c | 7,396$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.83 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Marlins | 46c | 5,678$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.46 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 5,222$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.1 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 45c | 5,191$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.01 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Blue Jays | 37c | 5,020$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.12 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 60c | 2,822$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.49 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Marlins | 45c | 2,354$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.86 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Blue Jays | 43c | 1,874$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.17 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Marlins | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.94 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 4c | 1,040$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Marlins | 45c | 981.7$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.94 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 957.97$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.3 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Marlins | 66c | 948.03$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.53 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 43c | 900.31$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.54 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Marlins | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 67c | 702.61$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.86 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 34c | 698.82$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.43 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 45c | 666$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.3 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 37c | 545.87$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Marlins | 47c | 523.06$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.22 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Blue Jays | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Blue Jays | 3c | 486.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 43c | 484.59$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Marlins | 45c | 476.18$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.9 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 43c | 469.32$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.51 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jays | 6c | 455.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 44c | 399.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.66 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Marlins | 46c | 382.61$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.61 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Blue Jays | 54c | 367.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Marlins | 46c | 348$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.92 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Marlins | 44c | 345$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Marlins | 69c | 323$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Marlins | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Marlins | 45c | 299.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 283$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…d8d1backed Blue Jays | 55c | 280$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Blue Jays | 6c | 275$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Blue Jays | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Marlins | 52c | 244.57$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Marlins | 75c | 239.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Blue Jays | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jays | 11c | 218.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed Blue Jays | 13c | 214.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Marlins | 46c | 212$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Blue Jays | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Blue Jays | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…31d4backed Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…f551backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…99aabacked Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…a1c0backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9459…e52bbacked Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…5145backed Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…0439backed Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…9335backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…c18bbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…8325backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…2522backed Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…94d4backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…12e8backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…0082backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…f811backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…41babacked Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045f…bfe7backed Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Marlinsthis page
- Spread: Blue Jays (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.