MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87911db54e93d79995903cf6b219f00b11f5aa02eb223b85203139f56dc3fae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Marlins, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Cardinals | 54c | 211,495$114,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,450.63 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Marlins | 46c | 57,500$26,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,450 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 46c | 33,005$15,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,182.08 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Marlins | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Marlins | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 54c | 17,399$9,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,952.77 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Marlins | 46c | 17,391$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 46c | 13,200$6,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,114 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 47c | 11,919$5,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,547.6 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Marlins | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 5,603$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.32 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Marlins | 48c | 3,957$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.48 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Cardinals | 51c | 3,722$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.62 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Marlins | 48c | 3,500$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Marlins | 48c | 3,102$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Marlins | 47c | 2,150$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.5 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 56c | 2,108$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Marlins | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cardinals | 51c | 1,288$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.94 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 34c | 1,057$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.85 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Marlins | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 76c | 1,015$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.17 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Cardinals | 52c | 949.61$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.81 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Cardinals | 51c | 882.53$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.26 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 51c | 863.06$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.9 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Marlins | 1c | 825$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…806ebacked Marlins | 39c | 659.8$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins | 45c | 625.24$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.83 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Cardinals | 52c | 593.25$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.76 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 540.79$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.58 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 49c | 514$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.93 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Marlins | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Marlins | 42c | 497.54$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Marlins | 46c | 449.89$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Marlins | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Marlins | 48c | 318.54$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.9 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 48c | 300.01$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.51 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Marlins | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 47c | 299.95$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Marlins | 47c | 299$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.29 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 294.49$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Marlins | 48c | 292.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Marlins | 15c | 250$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Marlins | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 48c | 220.83$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cardinals | 51c | 204.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…e064backed Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 47c | 203.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 48c | 202.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…67aebacked Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…06b5backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…8894backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf46…d661backed Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…4508backed Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…8065backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…d3eabacked Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…3e8dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…bdf5backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb76…d412backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…51d0backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d35…0700backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…0d4bbacked Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…3468backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…7207backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…0e39backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…9c2fbacked Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…4847backed Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d4…9d72backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…a812backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…5ef2backed Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…8717backed Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…8295backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…ee50backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0b…a16fbacked Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ce…3b7bbacked Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f34…d5f7backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…9d17backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a5…6751backed Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…5b02backed Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…4c34backed Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…8ee3backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…9969backed Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…d95cbacked Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…ca51backed Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…cc30backed Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…af2cbacked Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x144b…199ebacked Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d0…9310backed Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…5b7ebacked Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1366…c108backed Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…a598backed Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…fae6backed Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb5…b495backed Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…9d49backed Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -9.9wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.