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MLB · resolved market

Yankees vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yankeesof Yankees, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$263,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 546 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc4…f94fbacked Rangers36c41,333$15,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,017.463450%17 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees64c16,405$10,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,861.21,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Yankees64c7,046$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.1154345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rangers46c6,329$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,911.4360451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees55c5,299$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,409.722,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa348…e205backed Yankees54c5,255$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,417.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe627…ffaabacked Rangers40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Rangers40c3,722$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.1239041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Rangers42c3,673$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.8818837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees53c3,560$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.081,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Yankees54c3,188$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.4850852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yankees45c2,613$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.531,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3f5…0c82backed Yankees55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yankees54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rangers25c1,933$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.346,30948.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers27c1,837$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdf1…e491backed Rangers45c1,773$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x328b…566bbacked Rangers45c1,702$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.9450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…c3b4backed Yankees55c1,671$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Yankees58c1,643$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.541747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffb8…c079backed Rangers45c1,600$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34cb…df96backed Rangers45c1,600$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Yankees67c1,595$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.299550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rangers47c1,585$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb7e…0be4backed Yankees55c1,477$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fb0…58b6backed Yankees55c1,455$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.755100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37d5…31c3backed Yankees55c1,327$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e64…5686backed Rangers45c1,296$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yankees55c1,185$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.1388549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a08…2155backed Rangers45c1,159$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf64a…27c9backed Yankees67c1,131$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.595545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Yankees54c1,099$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.095,23556.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L+130.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Rangers45c1,050$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47215942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Yankees65c995.73$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.1443946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Rangers46c900$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41438249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b3…e5e9backed Yankees55c899.99$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Rangers42c837.68$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.998032.5%26 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Yankees70c815.21$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.991,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe837…0cfdbacked Rangers45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Yankees71c773.31$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.2668656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Yankees55c756.51$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.4324253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Rangers26c756.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c8…5efebacked Yankees55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers30c677.9$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.251,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Rangers46c650$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29916349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Yankees53c592.84$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.6431347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees48c558.41$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.4166645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Rangers64c535.17$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3405950.8%30 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Rangers48c520$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.633845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Yankees72c505.64$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6132754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Rangers47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Yankees46c500$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27134051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Yankees69c493.16$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1225454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Yankees59c489.87$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3980680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yankees51c477.94$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.1911036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Rangers43c470$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.916651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yankees66c428.54$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.369,86246.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L+40.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yankees53c410.04$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2251334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f5d…67a4backed Yankees54c405.56$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4981…5176backed Rangers47c400.55$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.261030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers44c399.97$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.991,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a22…35aebacked Rangers45c397.77$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees66c367.34$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.572,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rangers44c355$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.21,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rangers46c347$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.621,05750.4%533 W · 524 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2a…add1backed Yankees56c321.64$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.641241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Rangers13c306$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7838751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe539…de6bbacked Yankees55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1417…4dd2backed Yankees68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.122853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Rangers35c285.2$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2417930.2%54 W · 125 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers47c276$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.721,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Rangers44c272.33$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011446.5%53 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Yankees45c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6727213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rangers52c222.56$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3845749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees63c221.24$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.244,19750.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Yankees55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1816659.6%99 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Yankees54c218$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2840548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Rangers47c213.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eac…e064backed Rangers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Rangers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Rangers45c206.84$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.31,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers47c204$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.882,05853.8%1,107 W · 951 L+33.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yankees77c202.46$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.321040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe52…8d34backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a5…6751backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ad…afb5backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x649f…5b02backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4258…2612backed Yankees55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905538.2%21 W · 34 L-8.5wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5936…4c34backed Yankees55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905250%26 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ec0…8ee3backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905052%26 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…9969backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905060%30 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe09…d95cbacked Yankees55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…ca51backed Yankees55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6204…cc30backed Yankees55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…af2cbacked Yankees55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905044%22 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79d7…a553backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda76…0838backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905238.5%20 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7dfb…18d9backed Yankees55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x597e…d24cbacked Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf3…b281backed Rangers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.