MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a35d35bce96069de3d972357d5d613f044015d8f62c6c21c953b14353d77fc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Guardians, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $556,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $556,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $556,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Royals | 57c | 517,117$294,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222,438.86 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Guardians | 43c | 180,505$77,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,617.15 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 43c | 115,000$49,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,450 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Guardians | 43c | 81,000$34,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,830 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 43c | 80,000$34,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,400 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Guardians | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 43c | 12,360$5,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,314.59 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 43c | 11,500$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,945 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 11c | 7,713$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.91 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Royals | 79c | 7,003$5,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.67 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 23c | 4,232$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 21c | 3,926$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.57 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Guardians | 43c | 2,946$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.42 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Guardians | 8c | 2,581$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Guardians | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Guardians | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Guardians | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 43c | 1,428$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.86 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Guardians | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Guardians | 47c | 878.44$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.64 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Guardians | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 45c | 799.96$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Guardians | 44c | 760$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.4 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 44c | 747.37$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.84 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Guardians | 44c | 733$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.52 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Royals | 79c | 665.23$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Royals | 55c | 569.4$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.23 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Guardians | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Royals | 54c | 548.15$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.15 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Royals | 79c | 528.62$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.17 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Royals | 79c | 527$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.51 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Guardians | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…e064backed Guardians | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 11c | 421.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 44c | 361.02$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.85 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Guardians | 8c | 357.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Guardians | 44c | 339$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.16 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians | 5c | 318.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Guardians | 27c | 314.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 77c | 292.6$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Royals | 55c | 241.86$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.84 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Guardians | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Guardians | 45c | 221.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Guardians | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Guardians | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Guardians | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Royals | 50c | 176.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 46c | 173.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Guardians | 10c | 159.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Royals | 79c | 135$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 47c | 116$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Guardians | 45c | 107.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Royals | 79c | 106$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Royals | 52c | 102.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7785…4a55backed Guardians | 54c | 100.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Guardians | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…6b88backed Royals | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe407…7cbabacked Royals | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed Guardians | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…5c5dbacked Guardians | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Guardians | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Royals | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Royals | 79c | 75.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Guardians | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Guardians | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…ed39backed Guardians | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Royals | 55c | 55.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Guardians | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Guardians | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bd…c4e3backed Guardians | 45c | 53.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…3233backed Royals | 56c | 52.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Guardians | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4a…2553backed Royals | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Guardians | 47c | 43.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Guardians | 40c | 43.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Guardians | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Guardians | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Guardians | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Guardians | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Royals | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…f779backed Royals | 66c | 34.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Guardians | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Guardians | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Guardians | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Guardians | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Royals | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…4777backed Guardians | 47c | 26.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…98aebacked Guardians | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…50a6backed Royals | 55c | 25.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006b…f989backed Royals | 56c | 24.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…d791backed Guardians | 47c | 23.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Royals | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.