Tennis · resolved market
WTA Cincinnati - Kudermetova vs. Paolini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb478b704e0cca431f77326efdac0c29618779f8f37375dfb7508595de57226ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paoliniof Kudermetova, Paolini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Kudermetova | 50c | 100,159$49,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,999 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Paolini | 50c | 85,434$42,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,667.41 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Paolini | 50c | 15,450$7,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,725 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Paolini | 54c | 6,215$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.87 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Kudermetova | 50c | 6,006$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.77 | 674 | 49.6%334 W · 340 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Kudermetova | 18c | 5,500$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.99 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Paolini | 60c | 5,000$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…1208backed Kudermetova | 4c | 4,390$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.07 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Kudermetova | 45c | 2,911$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.89 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Kudermetova | 36c | 2,911$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.5 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Paolini | 51c | 1,890$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.01 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Kudermetova | 46c | 951.22$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.56 | 961 | 35.4%340 W · 621 L | -40.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Paolini | 60c | 604.1$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.1 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Kudermetova | 43c | 579.07$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Paolini | 55c | 560$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…9481backed Kudermetova | 45c | 518.7$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Kudermetova | 46c | 351.94$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.56 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Kudermetova | 44c | 278.57$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Paolini | 51c | 250$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…3e01backed Paolini | 53c | 250$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Paolini | 55c | 223.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…68a9backed Paolini | 64c | 220.72$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Kudermetova | 46c | 219.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Kudermetova | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Paolini | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Kudermetova | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…e064backed Paolini | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Paolini | 57c | 176.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Paolini | 62c | 160.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +102%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Paolini | 47c | 159.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Paolini | 73c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Paolini | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kudermetova | 43c | 114.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Kudermetova | 45c | 103.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Kudermetova | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6145…e49cbacked Paolini | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Paolini | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Paolini | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Kudermetova | 44c | 51.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf26d…53ccbacked Paolini | 57c | 49.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Paolini | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Kudermetova | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Paolini | 71c | 38.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Kudermetova | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…8b5dbacked Paolini | 57c | 24.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…f13abacked Paolini | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.