MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xede6733c0e48bde3c1f7ab54a0731c25bb58e3364b1effef153261450c401718
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Phillies, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yankees | 44c | 31,907$14,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,866.34 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies | 56c | 23,974$13,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,423.36 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Yankees | 49c | 15,075$7,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,749.23 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Yankees | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.94 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 40c | 9,563$3,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 54c | 7,136$3,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,853.44 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees | 46c | 6,849$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.55 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 54c | 6,832$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.62 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 44c | 6,362$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.86 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 45c | 5,372$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.38 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Phillies | 55c | 4,970$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.65 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Phillies | 56c | 4,375$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 52c | 4,225$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.51 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…10cebacked Yankees | 78c | 4,026$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 52c | 3,678$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.17 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Yankees | 51c | 3,630$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.81 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Phillies | 70c | 3,417$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Phillies | 24c | 3,156$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.75 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillies | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Phillies | 54c | 2,800$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Yankees | 50c | 2,655$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.07 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 54c | 2,156$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.04 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yankees | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Phillies | 3c | 1,700$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 53c | 1,491$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Phillies | 51c | 1,464$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 41c | 1,221$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yankees | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe572…f0bbbacked Phillies | 32c | 1,080$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Yankees | 25c | 1,075$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.61 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 54c | 1,039$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Yankees | 75c | 994.92$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.62 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Phillies | 53c | 943.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.32 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Phillies | 34c | 917$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.78 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Phillies | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 55c | 850$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.5 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 56c | 835$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.9 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yankees | 45c | 794.43$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.44 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 68c | 727.86$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.92 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Phillies | 52c | 700$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 54c | 669$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.26 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Phillies | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Yankees | 45c | 635$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.25 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Yankees | 80c | 625.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.06 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Phillies | 31c | 622.33$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.37 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Phillies | 22c | 591.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Yankees | 79c | 523.49$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.02 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Phillies | 56c | 491.07$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Yankees | 79c | 486.94$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Yankees | 69c | 482.08$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.63 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Yankees | 76c | 479.72$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Yankees | 76c | 478.41$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.4 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yankees | 75c | 459$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Yankees | 76c | 456$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Yankees | 65c | 454.42$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.39 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Phillies | 55c | 444$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Phillies | 23c | 436.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Yankees | 67c | 429.01$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Yankees | 75c | 426$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Phillies | 34c | 423.53$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Phillies | 52c | 405$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.25 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yankees | 45c | 397.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.66 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…e064backed Phillies | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Phillies | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Phillies | 54c | 339.45$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yankees | 45c | 300.02$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.41 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Phillies | 53c | 296.64$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.22 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…6456backed Phillies | 55c | 291.85$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Yankees | 60c | 278$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Phillies | 22c | 276.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Phillies | 54c | 274$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 32c | 270.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Phillies | 54c | 251.57$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Phillies | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Phillies | 53c | 229.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.29 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yankees | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Phillies | 54c | 218$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Phillies | 56c | 217.23$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yankees | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 54c | 211.11$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yankees | 47c | 209$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Phillies | 36c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Phillies | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yankees | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Phillies | 20c | 179.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…8b1abacked Phillies | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yankees | 45c | 171.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Phillies | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yankees | 60c | 154.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Yankees | 69c | 151.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 56c | 144.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.