MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56b6febd996bb635413b405f8373cc3b4b006e7dd615b50a645d10889e540ece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Nationals, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nationals | 46c | 24,752$11,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,385.72 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Astros | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d5…88c7backed Astros | 52c | 13,393$6,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,403.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Astros | 55c | 11,816$6,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,261.78 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 44c | 5,693$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.97 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Astros | 65c | 5,408$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.16 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 57c | 5,368$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nationals | 48c | 5,332$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.51 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Nationals | 16c | 4,421$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.87 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Astros | 53c | 3,600$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.91 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Astros | 53c | 3,349$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.48 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Astros | 55c | 2,842$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.39 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 48c | 2,791$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.16 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Astros | 54c | 2,700$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 31c | 2,498$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.79 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Nationals | 41c | 2,075$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.83 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb22…c471backed Astros | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…3ea3backed Nationals | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Nationals | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…0021backed Astros | 57c | 1,440$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nationals | 43c | 1,405$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.2 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…e5e9backed Nationals | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 58c | 1,300$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.87 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Nationals | 42c | 1,299$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.43 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…b085backed Nationals | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…5b8bbacked Nationals | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…4e13backed Nationals | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 53c | 1,141$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.17 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 42c | 1,129$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.72 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…c146backed Nationals | 4c | 1,125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Nationals | 45c | 985.33$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.4 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Nationals | 14c | 969.79$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.53 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…9f91backed Astros | 57c | 960$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Nationals | 8c | 936.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Astros | 54c | 934.43$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.81 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 42c | 879.51$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.39 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Nationals | 8c | 850$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Astros | 46c | 849.15$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.8 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 42c | 739.52$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.6 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 36c | 719.92$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.11 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…0cfdbacked Astros | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 45c | 677.62$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.93 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Nationals | 12c | 670.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Nationals | 48c | 651.48$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.71 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe63…4772backed Astros | 53c | 651.32$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Nationals | 47c | 608.12$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.82 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Astros | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Nationals | 42c | 582.75$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.75 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Astros | 52c | 580$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Nationals | 45c | 570$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Nationals | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f5…7049backed Astros | 58c | 499.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Astros | 56c | 499.82$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.92 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Astros | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Astros | 64c | 423.89$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Nationals | 22c | 418.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Nationals | 53c | 388.68$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nationals | 3c | 377.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…450ebacked Astros | 57c | 340$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Astros | 63c | 332.16$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 44c | 300.13$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.06 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Nationals | 42c | 293.01$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Astros | 54c | 263.44$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nationals | 41c | 243.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…41a4backed Nationals | 47c | 242.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Astros | 56c | 233.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Nationals | 43c | 231.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 52c | 230$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…e064backed Nationals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Astros | 64c | 212.59$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Nationals | 47c | 212.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Astros | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Astros | 74c | 195.65$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 62c | 194.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Astros | 73c | 193.03$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Nationals | 33c | 190$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Astros | 69c | 190$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Astros | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 44c | 188$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 42c | 184.62$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Astros | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…0445backed Nationals | 43c | 174$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…19d9backed Nationals | 43c | 166$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Nationals | 32c | 162.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Nationals | 26c | 156.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Astros | 65c | 153$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Nationals | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astros | 74c | 147$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Astros | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Nationals | 53c | 142$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 14c | 138.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Nationals | 52c | 138$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.