Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28f197609a8bf4a23a1a52f228129b058f9b1b1c95227e7cc8617e5f736356b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 60c | 30,000$18,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,100 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 40c | 29,700$11,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,917.05 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 8,892$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,914.03 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 54c | 4,624$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.94 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c3…3e00backed Yes | 62c | 2,660$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 13c | 2,659$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +693.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 40c | 1,883$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.27 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 41c | 1,327$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.88 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…c334backed Yes | 61c | 1,265$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 41c | 981.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.18 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 38c | 706.63$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.05 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 46c | 603.75$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 489.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.28 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 43c | 333$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 59c | 306.79$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.19 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 38c | 291.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 59c | 289.68$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.91 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed No | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 44c | 250.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.56 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 53c | 150.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 40c | 150.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 40c | 148$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 61c | 120.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 40c | 119.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 19c | 106$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Yes | 61c | 103.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 61c | 90.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa96e…e5b5backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444f…0d49backed Yes | 61c | 70.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes | 61c | 50.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf63…b05bbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 40c | 48.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…e064backed No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89de…9bc9backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 33c | 44.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 62c | 40.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…8c77backed Yes | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab7a…8357backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 38c | 32.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 48c | 31.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 37c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…66afbacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d50…5302backed Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc78…2e71backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe71…b183backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 58c | 18.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Angers SCO vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Angers SCO win on 2025-10-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.