Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Angers SCO vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59777b79d6058a2064a3ef3210632ded2a0a798714f32f0d9719bfeba3f73c9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 34c | 17,802$5,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,967.49 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 9,939$5,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.11 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 23c | 2,178$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.38 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 2c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Yes | 80c | 1,697$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 902.91$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.47 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 77c | 894.83$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.28 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 26c | 647.93$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.46 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13d5…8d1abacked Yes | 74c | 420.19$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 78c | 371.79$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a0…978fbacked No | 77c | 329.68$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 23c | 329.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.85 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 63c | 299.63$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 22c | 280.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.78 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 36c | 217$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…0582backed Yes | 46c | 144.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…6aeabacked Yes | 23c | 86.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 39c | 77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe969…f658backed Yes | 24c | 41.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +311.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…055ebacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 39c | 25.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Angers SCO vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-18?No won
- Will Angers SCO win on 2025-10-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.