MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7775a22cbe0ea8271c18e1e1edaa7d6a03122a7c45c3fa8c8cd92b45b05affb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Athletics, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Athletics | 58c | 54,470$31,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,592.81 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 42c | 52,834$22,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,643.77 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Nationals | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.9 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Athletics | 57c | 15,040$8,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,573.2 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Nationals | 43c | 8,435$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,811.56 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 42c | 7,200$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics | 56c | 6,574$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,661.97 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…ffb3backed Athletics | 59c | 6,452$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 46c | 5,283$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ffaabacked Athletics | 55c | 5,057$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 56c | 4,542$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.59 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Athletics | 57c | 4,420$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.53 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Nationals | 43c | 4,184$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.6 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Nationals | 49c | 3,507$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.55 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 48c | 3,315$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.22 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Athletics | 55c | 2,893$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.99 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Athletics | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Athletics | 52c | 2,694$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.72 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nationals | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.98 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Nationals | 43c | 2,430$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Athletics | 55c | 2,370$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.98 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Athletics | 57c | 2,345$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.84 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Nationals | 47c | 2,340$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.43 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 47c | 2,150$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.25 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 44c | 2,093$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.11 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Nationals | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 45c | 1,819$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Athletics | 54c | 1,798$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.7 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 45c | 1,660$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.13 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Nationals | 46c | 1,625$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.33 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Athletics | 47c | 1,436$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.94 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 53c | 1,365$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.37 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17b…d7a7backed Athletics | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Athletics | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Athletics | 54c | 1,178$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.22 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Athletics | 55c | 1,145$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.59 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Athletics | 56c | 1,137$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.63 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Athletics | 51c | 1,118$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.98 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Athletics | 56c | 1,064$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Athletics | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Athletics | 52c | 963.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 44c | 951$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.56 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Athletics | 57c | 926$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.82 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2a…3d34backed Nationals | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Nationals | 33c | 853.53$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.87 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…970ebacked Athletics | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Nationals | 44c | 785$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.6 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Nationals | 46c | 737.36$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.72 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 44c | 710$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.6 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…5d6bbacked Nationals | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 44c | 612$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.72 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Athletics | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Nationals | 48c | 591.07$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.34 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…41a4backed Athletics | 58c | 548.75$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.28 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Nationals | 52c | 548.1$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.78 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…5dedbacked Athletics | 58c | 545.97$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Athletics | 56c | 540$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Nationals | 47c | 529.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.9 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Nationals | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Nationals | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Athletics | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Athletics | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Nationals | 45c | 499.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.49 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Nationals | 43c | 498.53$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.16 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 58c | 498.17$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.94 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Nationals | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Nationals | 52c | 443.87$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.18 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Athletics | 66c | 440.97$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.4 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nationals | 47c | 421.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Athletics | 56c | 417.16$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.61 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Athletics | 49c | 412.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Athletics | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Athletics | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Nationals | 43c | 396.86$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.21 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 45c | 388.48$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.66 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Nationals | 45c | 360.77$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.67 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Athletics | 56c | 358$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Nationals | 51c | 334.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Nationals | 52c | 329.04$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.52 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Nationals | 61c | 325.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.73 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Athletics | 56c | 310$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…cd1cbacked Athletics | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Nationals | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Athletics | 59c | 294.64$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.84 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…b6c2backed Athletics | 35c | 294.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Nationals | 45c | 285$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.69 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…d8b4backed Athletics | 63c | 265.43$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Nationals | 44c | 260.68$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Athletics | 55c | 260$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics | 53c | 249.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Athletics | 58c | 239.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 40c | 237.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.47 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 56c | 232$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Athletics | 50c | 230.8$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 44c | 227.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Athletics | 56c | 224$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Athletics | 54c | 218.52$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.