MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc500aa95290689483969e0df26cd25ce0d81e2cf60db2db75b847e56e7dedbff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Cubs, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $594,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $591,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 534 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02d5…88c7backed Cubs | 47c | 326,574$152,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,360.12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 53c | 202,722$108,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,303.77 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Brewers | 53c | 95,000$50,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,350 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers | 55c | 43,428$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,428.76 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…6073backed Brewers | 47c | 31,942$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,941.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cubs | 46c | 31,710$14,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,586.57 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Brewers | 54c | 22,903$12,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,535.48 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cubs | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cubs | 45c | 19,295$8,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,771.32 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Brewers | 53c | 19,138$10,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,994.73 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 52c | 15,065$7,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,834.06 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 41c | 12,160$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.68 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Brewers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cubs | 19c | 7,780$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brewers | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 50c | 6,097$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.47 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Cubs | 46c | 4,850$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Brewers | 54c | 4,658$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.68 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cubs | 53c | 3,869$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.7 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 48c | 3,356$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.8 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Cubs | 55c | 3,184$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cubs | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Cubs | 47c | 2,813$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.09 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Brewers | 53c | 2,600$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cubs | 47c | 2,555$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.06 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958e…1a56backed Cubs | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 46c | 2,396$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.08 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 47c | 2,367$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.8 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Cubs | 46c | 2,102$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.79 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…a0c0backed Brewers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Brewers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Brewers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.88 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cubs | 47c | 1,842$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.62 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Cubs | 45c | 1,724$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Brewers | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…f282backed Cubs | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…c146backed Cubs | 3c | 1,571$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Brewers | 55c | 1,556$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.13 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 46c | 1,505$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.3 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…3ea3backed Brewers | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Brewers | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Cubs | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 53c | 1,440$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.93 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 53c | 1,421$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.15 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cubs | 47c | 1,342$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.28 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Brewers | 55c | 1,272$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.43 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Cubs | 46c | 1,225$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.34 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Cubs | 46c | 1,209$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.22 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…e22fbacked Cubs | 48c | 1,194$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…4628backed Brewers | 52c | 1,187$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6369…feb1backed Cubs | 48c | 1,171$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e2…89babacked Brewers | 52c | 1,160$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 47c | 1,154$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.28 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…8644backed Brewers | 52c | 1,140$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Brewers | 55c | 1,134$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.25 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d0…1784backed Cubs | 48c | 1,129$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7c41backed Brewers | 52c | 1,113$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddf…0192backed Cubs | 48c | 1,106$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 33c | 1,079$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.07 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cubs | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Brewers | 53c | 999.9$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.95 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Brewers | 67c | 996.58$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.29 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…7ee7backed Brewers | 52c | 971$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cubs | 46c | 965.5$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.13 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58df…76b4backed Cubs | 46c | 850$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 46c | 804.84$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.7 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Brewers | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Cubs | 34c | 789$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.92 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…f529backed Cubs | 46c | 740$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7429…247cbacked Brewers | 52c | 729$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Cubs | 46c | 695.5$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.93 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Brewers | 45c | 680.87$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.48 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Brewers | 69c | 672.15$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.95 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Brewers | 65c | 668.16$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.9 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Brewers | 66c | 667.46$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.14 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Brewers | 63c | 667.08$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.63 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Brewers | 68c | 665.81$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 44c | 665.42$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.33 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Brewers | 65c | 643.63$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.32 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 54c | 601$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.46 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Cubs | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Brewers | 58c | 599.35$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.78 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 48c | 590$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.69 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cubs | 45c | 561.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.52 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Cubs | 45c | 545.69$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.56 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Brewers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Cubs | 48c | 496.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.56 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cubs | 53c | 493$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.29 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Brewers | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 27c | 398$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs | 46c | 383$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.18 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Cubs | 53c | 369.79$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cubs | 47c | 363.84$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Brewers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…20e3backed Brewers | 52c | 360$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cubs | 5c | 353$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Brewers | 60c | 344.27$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.71 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Cubs | 42c | 320$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cubs | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cubs | 46c | 300$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.