WNBA · resolved market
Liberty vs Lynx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60f10c5ad2ea24054a13918367248f07c591cbe31d4562bdbb2fb51e86bbd978
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Liberty, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Liberty | 18c | 49,531$9,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,013.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lynx | 76c | 3,853$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.31 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Liberty | 27c | 3,419$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.66 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Lynx | 74c | 1,550$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lynx | 72c | 1,095$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.51 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Lynx | 63c | 1,080$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.6 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Liberty | 15c | 1,001$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Lynx | 73c | 884.24$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.74 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Liberty | 27c | 798$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Lynx | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Liberty | 27c | 559$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…7958backed Lynx | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lynx | 68c | 392.16$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Liberty | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Liberty | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Liberty | 4c | 320$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Liberty | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Liberty | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Liberty | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Liberty | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Liberty | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Liberty | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Liberty | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked Liberty | 27c | 176$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe90…e89cbacked Liberty | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lynx | 73c | 156$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Liberty | 27c | 141.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lynx | 64c | 139.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Lynx | 73c | 82.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…9adfbacked Liberty | 27c | 80.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7e…1fc5backed Liberty | 27c | 80.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed Liberty | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Lynx | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Liberty | 24c | 66.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Lynx | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Lynx | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Lynx | 75c | 64.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Liberty | 28c | 51.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Liberty | 25c | 51.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Lynx | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…0caabacked Lynx | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…9995backed Liberty | 26c | 46.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Liberty | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Lynx | 73c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Liberty | 33c | 33.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Lynx | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.