WNBA · resolved market
Liberty vs Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dc1914421ebacbfdc9e04e1d3690220223d72d820dc7641023f5dba0dced37e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunof Liberty, Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Sun | 28c | 11,963$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,554.74 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c59…b1cebacked Sun | 13c | 7,447$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,443.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +390.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sun | 17c | 4,552$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.56 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Liberty | 59c | 3,292$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sun | 14c | 3,169$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.79 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Sun | 17c | 2,348$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.63 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Sun | 14c | 2,248$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.22 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Liberty | 78c | 1,985$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.21 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sun | 15c | 1,970$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.65 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sun | 14c | 1,441$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.32 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Liberty | 55c | 1,038$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.65 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sun | 14c | 756.76$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.12 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sun | 14c | 732.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sun | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sun | 18c | 559.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.06 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed Liberty | 61c | 514.25$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Sun | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Sun | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Liberty | 3c | 449$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Sun | 16c | 404.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Sun | 14c | 375.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sun | 22c | 302$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.16 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sun | 17c | 230$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.9 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sun | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Sun | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sun | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sun | 14c | 184.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sun | 13c | 160.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.66 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sun | 14c | 133$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Liberty | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe90…e89cbacked Sun | 18c | 125$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Liberty | 65c | 113.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Liberty | 64c | 108.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sun | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sun | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Sun | 15c | 99.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Liberty | 74c | 96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…b8e9backed Sun | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Sun | 40c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…61fdbacked Liberty | 61c | 20.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.