MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x910294bddeb36e754b435958d86d422efbe28bd32b830c9b1aeab556d34602f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $550,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $577,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 566 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Giants | 46c | 46,547$21,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,411.52 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Giants | 47c | 38,800$18,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,236 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Giants | 58c | 32,660$18,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,980.3 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Giants | 25c | 31,299$7,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,691.3 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 30c | 30,244$9,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,052.77 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 53c | 27,750$14,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,042.5 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Giants | 47c | 23,726$11,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,041.88 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mets | 53c | 23,500$12,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,959.98 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Mets | 53c | 21,827$11,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,317.68 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mets | 46c | 21,507$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,507.3 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants | 47c | 19,358$9,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,141.56 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 47c | 16,992$7,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,946.66 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Mets | 54c | 16,805$8,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,805.85 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Mets | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Mets | 53c | 12,978$6,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,124.68 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 47c | 10,687$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Giants | 47c | 8,298$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Mets | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.41 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…10cebacked Mets | 54c | 7,040$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Mets | 53c | 6,508$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.03 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Mets | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 53c | 5,200$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Mets | 71c | 4,914$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.3 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Mets | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.63 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…47e9backed Mets | 53c | 3,850$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mets | 55c | 3,779$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.37 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mets | 53c | 3,626$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.22 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Mets | 57c | 3,409$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.05 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Giants | 50c | 3,363$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.92 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mets | 54c | 3,148$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.15 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…00c2backed Giants | 47c | 3,100$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mets | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mets | 50c | 2,852$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.35 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067d…9f81backed Mets | 55c | 2,719$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Mets | 53c | 2,693$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.48 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Mets | 54c | 2,648$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.15 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Mets | 63c | 2,415$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.72 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mets | 59c | 2,342$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.42 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Giants | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Mets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 36c | 1,993$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.45 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Giants | 38c | 1,927$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.84 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Mets | 54c | 1,815$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.81 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Mets | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.69 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Giants | 41c | 1,769$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.66 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Giants | 47c | 1,735$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.67 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…d078backed Mets | 52c | 1,670$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Mets | 50c | 1,635$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.18 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 33c | 1,524$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.16 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mets | 48c | 1,432$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.84 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Giants | 22c | 1,360$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.12 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Mets | 31c | 1,177$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.74 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Giants | 40c | 1,146$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.95 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Giants | 48c | 1,142$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.08 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 54c | 1,139$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.52 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 23c | 1,078$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.13 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Giants | 47c | 1,066$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.98 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Giants | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Mets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…252ebacked Giants | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mets | 53c | 957.22$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.23 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mets | 78c | 943.8$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.33 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Mets | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8b…effcbacked Giants | 4c | 895.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…8b1abacked Mets | 53c | 820.75$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mets | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…de24backed Giants | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Mets | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…041bbacked Mets | 54c | 794.69$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d5…fc86backed Giants | 47c | 789.36$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e29…5ec9backed Mets | 58c | 735.82$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 34c | 733.65$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.44 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Mets | 46c | 700.89$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.22 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mets | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mets | 53c | 698.62$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.35 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…1f11backed Mets | 52c | 647.91$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mets | 48c | 622.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.45 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…1db7backed Giants | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Giants | 47c | 589.3$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.97 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Giants | 42c | 579.98$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.59 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 25c | 568.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Giants | 7c | 556.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Giants | 36c | 555.63$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.22 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mets | 53c | 552$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.44 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Mets | 51c | 539.51$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.8 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Mets | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Giants | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Mets | 57c | 495.76$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.82 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b57…198fbacked Giants | 51c | 490.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…a23dbacked Mets | 71c | 480.67$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Mets | 67c | 471.63$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.64 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Mets | 53c | 433.96$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Mets | 53c | 422.18$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.42 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants | 47c | 415.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Mets | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Giants | 48c | 398.05$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Giants | 33c | 393.18$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Mets | 52c | 374$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.