MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cf6af5d821c3ff701ca5c4311d028b5341e6045164746ddf29e9859bd4dea1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Soxof Royals, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 44c | 21,836$9,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,161.78 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Royals | 56c | 14,289$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Royals | 47c | 13,344$6,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,337.07 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Royals | 56c | 8,509$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,732.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed White Sox | 44c | 6,754$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.43 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Royals | 21c | 4,887$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.95 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Royals | 55c | 4,020$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.71 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 44c | 2,477$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.04 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 77c | 2,422$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Royals | 50c | 2,250$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked White Sox | 45c | 2,107$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.72 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 68c | 2,008$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.29 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Royals | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked White Sox | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed White Sox | 50c | 1,705$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.5 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Royals | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Royals | 55c | 1,464$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.35 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Royals | 30c | 1,278$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.9 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox | 43c | 1,151$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.07 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 55c | 1,046$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.03 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Royals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Royals | 55c | 1,000$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed White Sox | 45c | 999.91$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.95 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Royals | 54c | 972.94$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.39 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked White Sox | 72c | 969$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.75 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed White Sox | 60c | 845$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.87 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed White Sox | 46c | 815.22$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.22 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Royals | 56c | 815$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.4 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Royals | 5c | 807.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked White Sox | 43c | 749.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 44c | 681$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.36 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed White Sox | 45c | 666$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.3 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Royals | 15c | 653.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed White Sox | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Royals | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox | 43c | 517$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.69 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 60c | 502.58$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.59 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked White Sox | 43c | 483.79$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.76 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Royals | 32c | 413.44$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Royals | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed White Sox | 45c | 237.16$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.16 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Royals | 56c | 226.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Royals | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Royals | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Royals | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed White Sox | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Royals | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed White Sox | 44c | 178.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe90…e89cbacked Royals | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Royals | 56c | 151.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed White Sox | 44c | 133$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc145…4ce3backed Royals | 55c | 127.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad48…0b10backed White Sox | 46c | 127.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Royals | 56c | 110.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed White Sox | 45c | 110$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked White Sox | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Royals | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Royals | 56c | 99.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked White Sox | 45c | 93.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…0299backed Royals | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Royals | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Royals | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox | 64c | 53.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked White Sox | 51c | 50.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed White Sox | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed White Sox | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed White Sox | 44c | 45.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…6145backed Royals | 39c | 43.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 55c | 39.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Royals | 55c | 36.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Royals | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3e…c5b5backed Royals | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Royals | 55c | 36.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…f0f9backed Royals | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked White Sox | 45c | 31.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed White Sox | 45c | 28.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Royals | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…c033backed Royals | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox | 61c | 23.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed White Sox | 64c | 20.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Royals | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Royals vs. White Soxthis page
- Royals vs. White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.