TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Saints vs. Chargers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chargersof Saints, Chargers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,270 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38a…8d26backed Saints46c127,066$58,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,450.251741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Chargers54c126,330$68,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,111.641241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…abf4backed Saints0c41,000$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Saints46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,199.963036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Chargers51c12,050$6,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,904.4912843.8%56 W · 72 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x257d…aac8backed Saints49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Chargers54c9,298$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,298.152040%8 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Chargers54c8,640$4,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,974.1922450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Saints5c8,593$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.4733328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32c7…31e0backed Saints47c5,745$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b47…2f60backed Chargers53c5,660$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Saints5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508921.3%19 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbc…52dabacked Chargers53c4,340$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38c…3687backed Saints47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Saints14c3,904$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.3719551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Saints39c3,121$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.842075%15 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+47.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Chargers54c3,118$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.821963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Saints26c2,255$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.127627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0180…e452backed Saints8c1,977$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.433228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Saints47c1,900$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.792948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Saints13c1,838$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5232347.4%153 W · 170 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Saints44c1,519$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.873545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Chargers74c1,453$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.0748847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Chargers51c1,412$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.143145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05eb…fe56backed Chargers54c1,272$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Saints4c1,160$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.424311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Chargers64c1,022$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.553372.7%24 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Saints49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49014342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Saints49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+62%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Saints43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Saints48c965.94$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.646333.3%21 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Chargers55c868.16$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.5424738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Saints46c772.58$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.5613335.3%47 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Saints15c739.81$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7732050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Chargers54c729.94$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.7741851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Saints46c723.91$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1be…19b7backed Saints48c634.04$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Chargers54c555.65$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.651560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Saints15c514.94$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6714443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x954b…ad5ebacked Saints32c498.64$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Saints48c487$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.761656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Saints3c481.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.281013%3 W · 98 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Saints44c477.28$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8624551%125 W · 120 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf1…c324backed Chargers52c459.37$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…ca64backed Chargers50c450$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Chargers67c373.35$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3520039.5%79 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Saints38c354$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.524829.2%14 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Chargers57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.885448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187a…f263backed Saints49c340.82$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Saints49c332.16$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.762540%10 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd180…0989backed Saints46c304.35$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Saints46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Saints47c299.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.991450%7 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+522.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Saints28c294.32$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.231056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Chargers55c282$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.977052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x251b…143cbacked Chargers54c278.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.386055%33 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d7…7ad5backed Chargers56c270$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Saints5c264.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Chargers74c257$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.822254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Chargers54c240.73$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4424547.8%117 W · 128 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb523…59a3backed Saints9c220$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c0…823bbacked Chargers56c216.07$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Chargers53c214$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5811047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Chargers57c212.16$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2315252%79 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Saints49c210.2$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1033655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6b…5209backed Saints48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x413c…1904backed Chargers52c200.04$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.022142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Saints46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929633.3%32 W · 64 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Saints46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Saints44c199.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2838…32bbbacked Chargers66c197.93$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7314860.8%90 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Chargers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0817558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Chargers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0838459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Chargers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1933047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Chargers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick71cpaid-35.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saints44c178.57$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5783147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacad…bceabacked Chargers64c170.48$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.021090%9 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick58cpaid+63.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Chargers78c169.25$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.46540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-49.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe90…e89cbacked Chargers57c157.89$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade5…0299backed Chargers59c153.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed Saints49c153$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41f…e827backed Saints44c151.08$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.734161%25 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ec0…40dabacked Saints21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.550%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Saints49c140.92$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6915855.7%88 W · 70 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d3…a2b9backed Chargers78c140.71$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Chargers74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1410763.6%68 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Saints47c127.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.042937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5d…88aebacked Chargers80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Saints45c124.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.841770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+66.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Chargers54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+48.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Saints53c112.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x107d…d49fbacked Saints31c103.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Saints48c103.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Chargers57c100.38$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9230446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Chargers53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4718151.9%94 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba77…de87backed Saints49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc9f…c824backed Chargers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d1…0282backed Saints49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6147…5f60backed Chargers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b1…b815backed Chargers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.