TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mariners vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Mariners, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,175,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,218,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,175,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 490 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x02d5…88c7backed Mariners51c824,420$423,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423,993.972356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics49c300,584$146,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,957.021,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics49c179,037$87,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,645.1186751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Athletics48c156,250$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,25022852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Athletics49c86,573$42,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,152.116258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners51c62,221$31,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,577.1660249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Athletics49c40,000$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,40041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Mariners50c31,119$15,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,689.6156451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Mariners54c27,806$14,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,99929240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Athletics49c22,678$11,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,565.7317156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Athletics68c19,654$13,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,207.3513352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Athletics48c17,602$8,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,153.2144456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics50c17,070$8,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,56535952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics48c16,000$7,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,2751,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Athletics48c14,986$7,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,750.4254345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics45c13,249$5,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,286.931,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Athletics49c9,712$4,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,95350852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Athletics52c8,583$4,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,129.741747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Athletics49c8,206$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,205.8938444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Mariners54c8,116$4,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,345.1733845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics56c7,922$4,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,488.52,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Athletics49c7,777$3,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,956.2741643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Athletics49c6,600$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,36620850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Athletics50c5,984$2,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,002.929151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mariners53c5,066$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,68536047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Athletics49c4,935$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.551,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics49c4,906$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.932,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Mariners51c4,902$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50024154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics49c4,444$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.441,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics49c4,315$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.9473352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Mariners52c4,100$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13213065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Athletics49c3,600$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83626453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Mariners52c3,574$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.2733554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Athletics49c3,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5409843.9%43 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Mariners50c2,782$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.918748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Mariners2c2,748$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.416725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Mariners51c2,701$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.4838249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Mariners52c2,243$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.8325454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Athletics49c2,200$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12214446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners50c1,650$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82766645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Mariners51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76524248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Mariners50c1,257$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.3540152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Mariners52c1,239$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.2324253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Athletics47c1,210$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.289,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf87b…50d3backed Athletics48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Mariners1c1,174$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.464754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Mariners53c1,107$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.5663052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ad…7cfabacked Mariners52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Athletics64c1,002$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.4432754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a0…dd29backed Mariners52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Athletics49c959.43$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.4743946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Athletics63c920.54$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.811,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5103…88b9backed Athletics48c900$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4681050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Athletics49c836.35$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.5443247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2a…3d34backed Mariners52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Mariners51c799.99$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4081,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2a8…8466backed Mariners51c794.48$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.184761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Athletics46c776.99$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.5811553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc041…3becbacked Athletics48c750$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd05…edf7backed Athletics48c750$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+53.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a22…35aebacked Mariners52c700$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe259…b890backed Athletics59c689.73$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9416162.1%100 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6254…d8b7backed Athletics66c606$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0812868%87 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Athletics62c596.08$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.4527458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics48c550$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.831,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Athletics47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+72.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Mariners50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Mariners50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502835.7%10 W · 18 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2cd3…1174backed Athletics64c492.91$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9419052.6%100 W · 90 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Athletics50c448.1$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0516654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Athletics52c430$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.426650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Athletics49c410.96$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5970946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Mariners8c389.62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5416934.9%59 W · 110 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Mariners52c384.22$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4180…cf9cbacked Mariners54c380.96$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.72837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Athletics51c369.23$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3931244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Mariners51c349.71$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3517866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics56c348.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.856,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked Mariners51c340.31$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Mariners50c320.06$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.628453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics48c315$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.81,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Athletics47c312.11$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.4213145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Athletics54c261.67$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7480680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xdc4c…e3fabacked Athletics50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e20…6e78backed Athletics50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Mariners50c260$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.89554.7%52 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eca…db22backed Mariners51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f3…826abacked Mariners51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9a…d9d7backed Mariners52c250$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.56553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Athletics47c226.89$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.255,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Mariners54c226.02$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3625551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners52c220$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.492754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe90…e89cbacked Mariners52c216.35$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xade5…0299backed Mariners52c216.35$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12de…2780backed Athletics49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.