TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

White Sox vs. Rays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
White Soxof White Sox, Rays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb377…cebcbacked Rays67c10,001$6,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,700.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f33…f105backed White Sox33c9,997$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,697.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox33c7,886$2,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,283.541,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rays11c6,579$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.492,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Rays8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rays14c6,157$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.69,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Rays67c5,000$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,35026949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Rays67c4,662$3,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,116.3113065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked White Sox33c4,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.9949250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays17c3,844$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.3695930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rays65c3,777$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.0838444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays66c3,095$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.182,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked White Sox33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.9831346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked White Sox32c2,975$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.7253150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rays11c2,878$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5254941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed White Sox36c2,764$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.853023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Rays66c2,716$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.6338047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Rays67c2,400$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60811555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox34c2,135$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.821,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rays65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9971751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rays8c1,897$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.186,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbc…a70dbacked Rays67c1,800$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.981050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rays66c1,715$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.3632852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Rays68c1,676$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1406243.5%27 W · 35 L-9.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rays2c1,629$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Rays9c1,427$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5917927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x81d6…bec9backed White Sox35c1,143$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.866149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba7c…a3cbbacked White Sox33c800$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rays68c600$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4081,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb6e…ba8dbacked White Sox33c599.98$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed White Sox34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2463052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rays57c582.93$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.8697950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox32c568.88$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.8444443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked White Sox33c534.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.4424547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Rays66c520$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.250852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox33c453$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.512,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450f…d078backed White Sox34c399.94$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Rays13c304$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5210834.3%37 W · 71 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.032,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.032,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox33c256$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5250843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88e2…7489backed Rays68c250$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-58.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed White Sox34c220$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.21,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rays10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed White Sox32c199.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.994151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed White Sox58c198.78$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0780680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Rays68c187$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1691749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b7…27e4backed White Sox33c163.94$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Rays13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035652.5%187 W · 169 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Rays66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012939.5%51 W · 78 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Rays67c150$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.52171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f54…8805backed White Sox34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66cc…d87abacked White Sox34c149.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.991275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6297…337fbacked Rays67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rays68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c52…42efbacked White Sox34c146.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+84.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Rays47c142.56$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.21,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4b…d004backed Rays19c115.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211637.1%43 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Rays14c109.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3542955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Rays67c106$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0240629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox33c104$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.131,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee3d…c792backed White Sox34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca68…b553backed Rays67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd607…d37dbacked Rays68c97.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox80c94.56$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.174,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa24…3d23backed Rays67c91.54$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-54.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Rays69c90.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.269547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29da…4d30backed Rays67c90.41$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.57450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed White Sox56c88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4645749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7a…b08dbacked Rays66c81.23$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…1a34backed White Sox32c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc973…b770backed White Sox33c79.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rays62c78.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.882,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b1e…808bbacked Rays68c78.29$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4672…94c9backed Rays68c78.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x048e…5ba7backed Rays68c76.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa85e…b18fbacked White Sox33c75.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.55425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb23…3fcabacked White Sox33c75.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+67.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Rays67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7420…633ebacked Rays68c74.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b7…d111backed Rays67c73.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3941…12c3backed White Sox35c72.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+99.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e77…2d72backed Rays68c71.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ef8…dce7backed Rays67c70.73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…d7fcbacked Rays67c70.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.281136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bfd…7f88backed Rays67c70.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20f…19fcbacked White Sox33c67.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.38475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+78.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd00c…abf8backed Rays68c64.35$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7640%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15e6…4979backed Rays68c61.03$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.52445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ddf…a6a6backed White Sox33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.612055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed White Sox35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3924751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed White Sox35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1451245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c57…9c22backed Rays67c55.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Rays68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3492754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed White Sox32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked White Sox33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.550447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf211…ffdfbacked Rays68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Rays68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.