Champions League · resolved market
FC Porto vs. Al Ahly: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe84257e883c0eb19807255de96becf7fe87608b1552036b9a2ccaa98f3108b00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 40c | 7,000$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.37 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 60c | 3,227$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 40c | 2,133$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.8 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Yes | 59c | 2,013$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.17 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Yes | 61c | 1,800$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.46 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…bc50backed No | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 60c | 1,325$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.78 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 60c | 365.81$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.66 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a3…350ebacked No | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked No | 40c | 332.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…d87abacked No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…3b9ebacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 15c | 232.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…633bbacked Yes | 62c | 225$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…5981backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Yes | 62c | 160.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 41c | 152.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…c51dbacked Yes | 33c | 149.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…e9b9backed Yes | 61c | 49.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed No | 41c | 43.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 39c | 41.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 59c | 28.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…a38abacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.