TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pirates vs. Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Piratesof Pirates, Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$279,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$283,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Pirates39c130,846$51,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,815.879440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Braves61c74,000$45,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,14044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Pirates39c55,601$21,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,916.8838043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves61c52,936$32,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,291.1948254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Braves61c30,000$18,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,30055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Braves61c16,000$9,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,76038751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Braves61c15,000$9,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,15030255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Pirates39c13,000$5,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,93026949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Braves39c10,381$4,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,016.621,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates39c10,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,099.9634245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde32…700cbacked Braves58c8,618$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,998.321241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves61c8,163$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,979.631,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…0aacbacked Braves61c8,064$4,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,919.042661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates54c7,672$4,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,558.812,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Braves39c4,109$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.699,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pirates45c3,435$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.946,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Braves61c3,280$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.823060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Braves42c2,797$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.7454941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Braves61c2,574$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.143129%9 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-53%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pirates38c2,500$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.9693240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Braves46c2,173$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.2596133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pirates38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Braves61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2205455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves61c1,984$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.2463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Pirates38c1,650$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02316349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac90…1882backed Pirates39c1,550$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.492937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Pirates42c1,500$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87532042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5f4…55c1backed Braves20c1,433$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2826417.2%11 W · 53 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Braves61c1,295$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.7116551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pirates55c1,218$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.0612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pirates41c1,200$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71242452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Pirates42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.481,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Braves61c1,095$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.9520748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates39c1,072$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.9250843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Braves61c1,046$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.614452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2a…1ae8backed Braves61c1,000$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.04944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Pirates40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b8…84fabacked Pirates39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Braves61c999.96$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9822142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Braves62c806.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9211544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Pirates40c756.28$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.771,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Pirates39c737$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.5744643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Pirates44c655.25$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.4419540%78 W · 117 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19dd…90acbacked Braves65c650$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Braves63c643.9$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.825950.8%30 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2cdb…8547backed Pirates40c624.38$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.631250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Pirates39c616$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.7612436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pirates73c542.54$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.391,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Braves60c535$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Pirates38c523.04$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.2856451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Pirates39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Pirates39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3051,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Pirates40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Pirates67c439.58$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6860052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves34c410.99$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9695930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pirates70c377.78$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8546239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Braves61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Braves62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014863.5%94 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Braves59c320.39$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.617341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Braves60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18066751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Pirates35c288.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.576747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Pirates37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.274242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pirates40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Braves12c249.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.941,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Braves61c229.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14044348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves60c205$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates40c203.51$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0470841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff4…2f4abacked Pirates78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Braves62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12492754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6282…e8f2backed Braves11c185$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.357427%20 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Braves61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c6…5db4backed Braves61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Braves62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Pirates39c160$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.633140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c86…f1f1backed Pirates71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089d…c7c9backed Braves17c129$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710713.1%14 W · 93 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Pirates79c127.37$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.371346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Braves14c121.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.748,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf351…5364backed Braves63c112.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.182152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Pirates40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6021656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6183248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Pirates39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6115944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Braves61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Braves61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616833.8%23 W · 45 L-9.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x72ff…a245backed Pirates39c97.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.443762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Pirates31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7738245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Braves61c93.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5721748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a03…47c1backed Pirates39c89.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7411353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Pirates40c84.8$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Braves61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014945%67 W · 82 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Braves62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Braves64c59.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.363138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-32.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Pirates27c59.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.266341.3%26 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea8…0877backed Pirates64c54.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-49.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Braves62c53.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333568.6%24 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Pirates38c53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.861,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Pirates78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2820367%136 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.514,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Braves44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2247745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.