TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Rockies, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$874,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$946,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $874,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rockies32c714,349$232,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232,091.8338043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Giants67c194,511$131,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,455.5911759%69 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants67c101,822$68,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,369.861,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Giants68c95,000$64,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,40025453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants68c65,242$44,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,88048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Giants68c40,000$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,00055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Giants67c40,000$26,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,20044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Giants67c38,874$26,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,821.9838751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Giants68c31,630$21,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,121.61,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…0aacbacked Giants68c25,844$17,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,270.082661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Giants71c25,403$17,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,463.61,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Giants67c20,436$13,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,743.977363%46 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Giants68c14,444$9,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,622.0830255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb61…6d7bbacked Rockies33c8,627$2,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,815.621030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6937…085dbacked Giants68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9203100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants68c5,981$4,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.792,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Giants67c5,555$3,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.138464.3%54 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants73c4,917$3,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.469,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ed…f1bdbacked Giants68c3,228$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.811275%9 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants80c3,131$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.842,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Giants69c2,994$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.1711141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de9…ee25backed Rockies9c2,854$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rockies19c2,761$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.891,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rockies15c2,746$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.1778445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Giants67c2,600$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85826453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockies29c2,403$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.8243949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Giants76c2,091$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.354941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockies21c1,576$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.9296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Rockies32c1,562$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.726547.7%31 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Giants68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4805455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rockies32c1,493$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.761,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Giants68c1,450$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4649757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rockies31c1,412$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.8571751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Giants78c1,360$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.56,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rockies24c1,354$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.846239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3bb…e7a1backed Giants68c1,289$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.412080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Giants68c1,095$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.420748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies31c1,072$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.3150843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Giants74c1,063$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.0612,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0adb…7693backed Rockies3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-80.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockies31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31022142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Rockies31c737$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4744643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Giants67c650.62$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.827749.4%38 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Rockies31c616$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9612436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Rockies33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Giants69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18642452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Giants69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1861,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies26c581.11$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.294,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc352…51e3backed Rockies32c580$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.63762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Giants68c579$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.284452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies27c570.64$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0995930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies30c536.67$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16151347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Rockies56c529.3$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4139739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Giants68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Giants70c494$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.086,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rockies17c410$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.547745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127c…3743backed Rockies12c400$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Rockies31c399.31$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.286833.8%23 W · 45 L-9.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Giants78c399$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7712450%62 W · 62 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d79…ad77backed Rockies13c350$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Giants80c312.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.51866.7%12 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffbc…b889backed Giants65c309$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.916866.2%45 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Giants67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9966751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Giants68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Giants68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1214863.5%94 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Giants69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8612558.4%73 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies31c287.92$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.661,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x552d…cacfbacked Giants68c234.44$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f2…5bb5backed Giants68c220.96$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.712885.7%24 W · 4 L+5.4wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+30.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.392,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2bf…2ab3backed Giants68c208.82$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.822740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Giants49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0817355.5%96 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Giants69c202.9$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.91,39655.2%770 W · 626 L-28.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089d…c7c9backed Rockies9c181$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0110713.1%14 W · 93 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants69c176$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.562,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies25c169.32$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.171,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ea8…0877backed Rockies43c151.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.39633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-49.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Giants68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0638245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Giants69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c6…5db4backed Giants69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.933461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a2…9bbabacked Rockies23c133.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5213740.1%55 W · 82 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c86…f1f1backed Giants77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x467e…c62dbacked Giants47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.669357%53 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rockies31c108.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7626642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeeb5…3dd4backed Giants60c107.77$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db3…e657backed Giants68c106.38$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.041770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rockies31c104.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.531,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Giants68c100.52$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.337041.4%29 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Rockies33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3345732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Giants68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fec…fc7bbacked Rockies20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201022.9%3 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rockies31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3183248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Rockies32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3215944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Giants48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5237951.7%196 W · 183 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Rockies31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3129145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Giants60c87$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.91,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Giants57c85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5514951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Rockies26c80.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9560052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Giants45c71.42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.288,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.