TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Allianceof BASEMENT BOYS, Alliance
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,951 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ff4…d731backed BASEMENT BOYS15c2,145$316 inLost-$316.1919940.7%81 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf01f…e8fbbacked BASEMENT BOYS16c1,900$297 inLost-$296.68230.5%25 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed BASEMENT BOYS5c1,683$81 inLost-$81.2219340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed BASEMENT BOYS16c1,026$163 inLost-$162.5710249%50 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed BASEMENT BOYS1c1,000$10 inLost-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BASEMENT BOYS22c915.55$201 inLost-$201.315,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Alliance78c910$710 inWon+$200.234559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed BASEMENT BOYS15c816.16$120 inLost-$12022044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed BASEMENT BOYS17c623.05$106 inLost-$106.211,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed BASEMENT BOYS15c611.18$90 inLost-$89.6916935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed BASEMENT BOYS16c432.32$70 inLost-$69.5621744.7%97 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BASEMENT BOYS13c423.3$56 inLost-$56.122,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed BASEMENT BOYS14c408.35$58 inLost-$58.2582142.5%349 W · 472 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e67…dad6backed BASEMENT BOYS16c375$60 inLost-$6070%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed BASEMENT BOYS14c324.85$45 inLost-$45.4844643.5%194 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef5…e9acbacked BASEMENT BOYS16c310.83$50 inLost-$49.736536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf05…5efcbacked BASEMENT BOYS8c305.8$25 inLost-$253013.3%4 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-66.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed BASEMENT BOYS16c305$48 inLost-$47.83438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed BASEMENT BOYS14c297.69$43 inLost-$42.5116954.4%92 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked BASEMENT BOYS17c296.02$49 inLost-$49.3692145.8%422 W · 499 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked BASEMENT BOYS14c270.84$38 inLost-$37.939732%31 W · 66 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed BASEMENT BOYS18c247$44 inLost-$44.4628755.1%158 W · 129 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked BASEMENT BOYS11c221.5$24 inLost-$23.613,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed BASEMENT BOYS14c215.88$30 inLost-$30.2216349.1%80 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71db…aba8backed BASEMENT BOYS8c208.78$18 inLost-$17.677349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed BASEMENT BOYS8c207.1$16 inLost-$16.082,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked BASEMENT BOYS15c181.58$27 inLost-$27.2412846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BASEMENT BOYS15c177.5$27 inLost-$26.635,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked BASEMENT BOYS15c177.5$27 inLost-$26.6362738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed BASEMENT BOYS15c163.6$25 inLost-$24.541,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed BASEMENT BOYS15c153.06$22 inLost-$22.212533.6%42 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76af…25c3backed BASEMENT BOYS17c133.32$23 inLost-$22.664641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed BASEMENT BOYS17c117.84$20 inLost-$2016245.7%74 W · 88 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed BASEMENT BOYS16c112.96$18 inLost-$18.0716750.9%85 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4aa…f861backed BASEMENT BOYS20c100.91$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5a…9ef7backed BASEMENT BOYS18c61.1$11 inLost-$116939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.