TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Yellow Submarine
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,321 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yellow Submarine20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked PARIVISION52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40025446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Yellow Submarine46c4,075$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.0418075%135 W · 45 L+18.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe9c…4cb4backed Yellow Submarine80c4,017$3,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2062744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Yellow Submarine29c3,665$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.181,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60f1…9562backed Yellow Submarine68c1,736$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.142060%12 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71fa…c7e1backed Yellow Submarine33c1,470$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked PARIVISION67c1,370$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.115852.5%83 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked Yellow Submarine2c1,250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-71%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yellow Submarine4c1,228$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5265625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Yellow Submarine17c1,200$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7518661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION54c1,025$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.981,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Yellow Submarine15c876.96$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0931245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Yellow Submarine51c777$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.6418745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Yellow Submarine6c750$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine25c747.75$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.32,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x332f…1ee8backed Yellow Submarine17c661.45$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.459253.3%49 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION72c613.64$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.861,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x786a…9cd5backed PARIVISION55c573.21$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.942142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked PARIVISION75c542$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.692744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Yellow Submarine13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef0…f14cbacked PARIVISION6c500$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.5728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick11cpaid+198.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Yellow Submarine18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed PARIVISION53c379.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.315946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Yellow Submarine56c354.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Yellow Submarine57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24de…53e7backed PARIVISION6c336.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.441040%4 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick8cpaid+405.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed PARIVISION12c318.16$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.1316821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed Yellow Submarine23c308.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4413455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Yellow Submarine19c299.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5761548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed PARIVISION61c290.98$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.126661.7%164 W · 102 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Yellow Submarine17c282.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1286451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked PARIVISION80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5020452.9%108 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Yellow Submarine18c240$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.58541.2%35 W · 50 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Yellow Submarine6c225.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.566145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Yellow Submarine50c219.24$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6212252.5%64 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed Yellow Submarine17c216.49$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9813655.9%76 W · 60 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed PARIVISION6c200$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.41526.7%4 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick12cpaid+105.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed PARIVISION6c200$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid+32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Yellow Submarine57c174.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yellow Submarine18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2756243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3726…8521backed PARIVISION60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION54c145.32$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9271454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Yellow Submarine69c144.14$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9519443.3%84 W · 110 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed Yellow Submarine19c127.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2416142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yellow Submarine18c127.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.983033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Yellow Submarine14c118$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5211841.5%49 W · 69 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yellow Submarine41c113.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0991553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf456…3855backed Yellow Submarine10c100.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017337.6%65 W · 108 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…4bc4backed Yellow Submarine21c99.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Yellow Submarine12c93.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.520952.6%110 W · 99 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee06…3054backed PARIVISION78c91.89$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.311428.6%4 W · 10 L-5.9wins-0.42per pick71cpaid-61.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yellow Submarine42c86.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.541,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yellow Submarine26c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4622456.3%126 W · 98 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb2c…e9a0backed PARIVISION78c79.49$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.49875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yellow Submarine24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.756169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yellow Submarine14c74.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.821,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Yellow Submarine16c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1814744.9%66 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2b7…d4f5backed PARIVISION77c64.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.683834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8387…376cbacked PARIVISION49c59.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Yellow Submarine20c58.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine19c53.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Yellow Submarine57c52.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3059556.6%337 W · 258 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x055a…d83bbacked Yellow Submarine33c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.453951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yellow Submarine38c49.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5478516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf58f…a8a3backed PARIVISION73c48.97$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Yellow Submarine25c46.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.692763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked PARIVISION29c45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7737018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Yellow Submarine51c40.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.415033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed PARIVISION58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8117149.7%85 W · 86 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x101f…b386backed Yellow Submarine51c39.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032154.8%176 W · 145 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Yellow Submarine51c39.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Yellow Submarine51c38.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021751.6%112 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed PARIVISION54c36.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7150855.5%282 W · 226 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed Yellow Submarine57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8d…f40dbacked PARIVISION71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3144771.1%318 W · 129 L+27.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Yellow Submarine46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8367853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x289e…5802backed Yellow Submarine57c29.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ac…7e1fbacked Yellow Submarine55c27.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159836.7%36 W · 62 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed PARIVISION56c26.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8360660.7%368 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Yellow Submarine47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.787753.2%41 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed PARIVISION66c21.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.543043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef0d…ef1cbacked PARIVISION48c21.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9422740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…8cc0backed Yellow Submarine55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81fe…4089backed PARIVISION66c15.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1913262.9%83 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc560…adbabacked PARIVISION79c15.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.