CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73d9febff9c3bfec0942a3215b36cb89921bcf587a6861353a776ac418ebc25a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof Astralis, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Monte | 64c | 8,049$5,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.08 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Astralis | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Astralis | 21c | 6,413$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.83 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Monte | 71c | 4,731$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.66 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Monte | 68c | 4,142$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.72 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Monte | 70c | 3,266$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.42 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Astralis | 26c | 1,876$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.68 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Astralis | 27c | 1,673$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.7 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Astralis | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Monte | 76c | 1,426$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.79 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 20c | 1,410$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…dd64backed Monte | 74c | 1,356$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis | 27c | 1,251$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.1 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Monte | 79c | 1,153$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.11 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Astralis | 36c | 1,139$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.44 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Monte | 69c | 1,000$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Astralis | 56c | 1,000$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.7 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Astralis | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Monte | 72c | 938.08$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.97 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 29c | 900$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Astralis | 37c | 741.09$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.58 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 12c | 593.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Astralis | 34c | 583.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 54c | 546.38$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.05 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Astralis | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Monte | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Astralis | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Monte | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Astralis | 38c | 420$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…f294backed Astralis | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed Monte | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked Astralis | 26c | 370.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Astralis | 33c | 357.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Astralis | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Monte | 50c | 298$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Monte | 41c | 295$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.05 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…44edbacked Astralis | 35c | 285.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Monte | 75c | 268.7$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Monte | 77c | 260.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Astralis | 26c | 241.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed Astralis | 45c | 212.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 32c | 209.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Astralis | 21c | 170.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa451…802abacked Astralis | 15c | 149.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Monte | 70c | 149.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Astralis | 39c | 130.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Astralis | 43c | 125.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Monte | 63c | 122.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Monte | 41c | 110$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Monte | 51c | 104.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Astralis | 60c | 100.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…d83bbacked Astralis | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Astralis | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 704 | 23.9%168 W · 536 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Monte | 52c | 99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Monte | 40c | 93.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed Astralis | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Astralis | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Astralis | 55c | 74.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Monte | 45c | 70.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Astralis | 27c | 67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Astralis | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Monte | 43c | 60.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Astralis | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Monte | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed Monte | 55c | 55.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…e1babacked Astralis | 29c | 54.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astralis | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Astralis | 25c | 46.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Astralis | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…cf08backed Monte | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…2a05backed Monte | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Monte | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Monte | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Monte | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Monte | 45c | 22.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Astralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Monte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.