Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa19c1a61687e89492463aab1e15a41d7b9b2c34449da3563b171641b6bbc99ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Team Liquid, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 38,892$19,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,849 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 34,984$17,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,871.57 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 56c | 11,172$6,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,205 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 9,984$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,918.64 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 8,149$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,648.91 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 27c | 7,210$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.28 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 7,058$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.63 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 27c | 5,936$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.13 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 58c | 5,697$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 5,637$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.91 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 5,127$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.43 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 4,731$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.81 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 4,164$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.37 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 3,875$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.67 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Liquid | 53c | 3,747$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.2 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 2,747$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.18 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Liquid | 5c | 2,698$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.37 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 34c | 2,184$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.63 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 2,089$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.2 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 2,060$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.06 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 1,997$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.45 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,918$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Liquid | 18c | 1,695$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.14 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,561$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 6c | 1,312$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…f27bbacked Team Liquid | 3c | 1,298$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,222$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.55 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…afaabacked Team Liquid | 1c | 1,203$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,177$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.28 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Liquid | 27c | 1,162$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 1,120$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.9 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 1,111$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.22 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid | 30c | 1,080$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.56 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 2c | 1,067$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,009$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.77 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 803.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.25 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 768.06$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.37 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf82b…5211backed Team Liquid | 5c | 701.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 678.66$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.05 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Liquid | 4c | 617.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 263 | 51%134 W · 129 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Team Liquid | 6c | 611.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Liquid | 51c | 587.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 2c | 586.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 56c | 571.35$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.46 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 55c | 552.22$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.72 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…b045backed Team Liquid | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked Team Liquid | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…4bfdbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 491.17$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Team Liquid | 54c | 481.37$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 467.67$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.69 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Liquid | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 407.72$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.78 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Liquid | 5c | 361.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Team Liquid | 30c | 361.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Liquid | 58c | 347.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.55 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Team Liquid | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 340.57$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.1 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 302.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.83 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Team Liquid | 53c | 290$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.8 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked Team Liquid | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 47c | 280$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Team Liquid | 13c | 266$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid | 54c | 263.27$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Team Liquid | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 259.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Team Liquid | 52c | 244$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.83 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…78f7backed Team Liquid | 47c | 235.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 228.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Team Liquid | 48c | 218.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid | 51c | 216$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 213.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.83 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Liquid | 51c | 209.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Liquid | 56c | 201.74$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Liquid | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Team Liquid | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Team Liquid | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 196.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.58 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…0d72backed Team Liquid | 10c | 194.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Team Liquid | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 183.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Team Liquid | 52c | 179.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 158.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Team Liquid | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed Team Liquid | 53c | 128.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Liquid | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid | 55c | 116.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed Team Liquid | 52c | 109.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…5922backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 104.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.