TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Team Liquid, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,141 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid52c53,635$27,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,861.755157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports48c43,410$20,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,674.142650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid57c17,407$9,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,97453451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports51c11,471$5,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,669.1696557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports47c11,471$5,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,065.292,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b4…3500backed Team Liquid0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Liquid50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010236.3%37 W · 65 L-10.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid58c5,659$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30054556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Tundra Esports45c4,716$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574.0115047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Tundra Esports42c4,699$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.5810741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed Tundra Esports48c3,401$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.217353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.9822954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Team Liquid55c2,738$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.988544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed Tundra Esports47c2,677$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.8821264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Tundra Esports54c2,636$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.1922842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Tundra Esports45c2,476$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.673250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Tundra Esports43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.8216248.8%79 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid6c2,103$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9440014.8%59 W · 341 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Tundra Esports48c2,084$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.8920452.9%108 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Tundra Esports42c1,909$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.110334%35 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Team Liquid32c1,800$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.8814443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Team Liquid21c1,720$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.179430.9%29 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Team Liquid58c1,689$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.2215546.5%72 W · 83 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Liquid50c1,650$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.0533850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports47c1,018$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.441,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6503…0c3dbacked Team Liquid10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008461.9%52 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid59c999.76$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.8619552.8%103 W · 92 L-15.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid51c912.85$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.671,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Tundra Esports42c752.13$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.2458744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid52c733.81$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.5879959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports46c699.97$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.9953652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Tundra Esports40c662.1$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.269345.2%42 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Team Liquid51c586.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021346.5%99 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Liquid54c577.85$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.0455251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefee…d2b3backed Tundra Esports49c558.66$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.612256.6%69 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Tundra Esports48c548.92$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.126957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid55c532$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.655751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid55c525.44$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.8560552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Team Liquid56c500$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2782171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Team Liquid15c499.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526661.7%164 W · 102 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01d4…33d8backed Team Liquid56c477.28$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26711757.3%67 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Team Liquid52c472.72$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.588957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Team Liquid46c468.7$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1637047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Tundra Esports53c467.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9855457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Liquid54c457.51$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.0518661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3260…85ddbacked Team Liquid58c450$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2616454.7%35 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid55c437.66$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.2180742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Tundra Esports68c425.38$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1216160.2%97 W · 64 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Tundra Esports49c411.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8946240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Team Liquid56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid34c391.36$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.492,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3952…c2b4backed Tundra Esports42c380$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.42157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95f0…67c9backed Team Liquid58c380$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Tundra Esports55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6441655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Tundra Esports45c348.73$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.829548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports44c334.29$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.288166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b5b…0b0ebacked Team Liquid13c332.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid46c320.97$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.322,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb759…ed73backed Team Liquid52c315.54$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9810049%49 W · 51 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Tundra Esports80c310.3$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4119664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15361548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Team Liquid58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1741735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25e6…afaabacked Team Liquid10c273.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Liquid10c273.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2392056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Team Liquid53c260.19$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.33655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tundra Esports49c256$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1311,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x899e…0863backed Tundra Esports48c251.66$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6626454.5%144 W · 120 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked Tundra Esports46c248.15$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.781435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x022d…d8cebacked Tundra Esports57c245.9$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.912454%67 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed Tundra Esports45c241.27$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.740047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf632…02aabacked Team Liquid13c235.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.471717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Team Liquid59c234.47$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.169053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22f5…795bbacked Team Liquid55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Tundra Esports49c204.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2846049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4c0…23d8backed Tundra Esports69c200.34$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4923957.3%137 W · 102 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Team Liquid22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4425639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Team Liquid55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11016155.3%89 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a60…3170backed Team Liquid56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126046.7%28 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Tundra Esports48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10428244%124 W · 158 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f8…f27bbacked Tundra Esports45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5279…a8dbbacked Team Liquid58c190$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a65…ffcdbacked Tundra Esports51c186.48$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.199051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Team Liquid29c180$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4863032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Team Liquid56c177.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014965.8%98 W · 51 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f28…1edebacked Team Liquid57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010456.7%59 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x209f…0eb4backed Team Liquid59c171.37$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.113348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a6…78f7backed Team Liquid59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Team Liquid59c167.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9916440.2%66 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed Tundra Esports42c164.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5936051.9%187 W · 173 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Team Liquid40c161$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6586451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid54c152.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2277941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Tundra Esports46c152.96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8560251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c52…e75fbacked Tundra Esports45c150$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8313732.8%45 W · 92 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports69c142.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0666662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc448…085ebacked Team Liquid21c124.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.07922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Tundra Esports42c121.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3922534.2%77 W · 148 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefff…2d98backed Team Liquid50c115.17$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8116445.7%75 W · 89 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6585…5892backed Team Liquid14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+52.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Team Liquid59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6037456.4%211 W · 163 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.