CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34a551752f1a1fb19d244c094eac4a0d14e6ae6034430584a1dbec1c320cfe25

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: 3DMAXof 3DMAX, SemperFi Esports
Resolved: Mar 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,172
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,172 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf743…1811backed SemperFi Esports	11c	2,079$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.45	298	31.5%94 W · 204 L	-16.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked SemperFi Esports	33c	1,997$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.37	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked SemperFi Esports	25c	1,681$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.2	612	28.9%177 W · 435 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed SemperFi Esports	21c	1,500$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	126	51.6%65 W · 61 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked 3DMAX	79c	1,500$1,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315	84	44%37 W · 47 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX	74c	1,408$1,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.8	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked 3DMAX	78c	1,386$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.98	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+7.6wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed SemperFi Esports	16c	1,300$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.41	1,278	21.9%280 W · 998 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed 3DMAX	68c	882.72$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.72	238	61.3%146 W · 92 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed 3DMAX	77c	882.64$677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.43	245	50.2%123 W · 122 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked SemperFi Esports	46c	776.6$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359	325	36%117 W · 208 L	-11.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 3DMAX	73c	762.59$557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.9	1,259	42.5%535 W · 724 L	+20.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed SemperFi Esports	27c	740.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	219	47.5%104 W · 115 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed SemperFi Esports	28c	698.33$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.9	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed 3DMAX	77c	616$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.54	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked 3DMAX	59c	599.99$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246	78	32.1%25 W · 53 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed SemperFi Esports	36c	555.56$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed SemperFi Esports	4c	550$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	434	42.2%183 W · 251 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed 3DMAX	63c	545$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.35	124	46.8%58 W · 66 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed SemperFi Esports	23c	522.04$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.07	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked SemperFi Esports	41c	520$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.8	170	42.9%73 W · 97 L	-8.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked SemperFi Esports	23c	500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed 3DMAX	65c	438.55$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.18	289	60.6%175 W · 114 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX	75c	435.98$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.7	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed SemperFi Esports	22c	399.97$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.99	426	51.6%220 W · 206 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed SemperFi Esports	38c	395.27$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.3	112	40.2%45 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed SemperFi Esports	23c	323.1$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed SemperFi Esports	19c	322.7$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.31	215	28.8%62 W · 153 L	-10.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed 3DMAX	66c	306.63$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.69	412	60.9%251 W · 161 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked SemperFi Esports	22c	300$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	1,157	48.2%558 W · 599 L	+3.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed 3DMAX	54c	300$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	783	48.4%379 W · 404 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed SemperFi Esports	28c	275$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.69	1,969	46.7%919 W · 1,050 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eca…2872backed SemperFi Esports	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX	71c	245.61$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.76	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed SemperFi Esports	21c	243.81$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	970	40.7%395 W · 575 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed SemperFi Esports	36c	210$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.73	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked SemperFi Esports	27c	200$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.22	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed SemperFi Esports	31c	175$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.86	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 3DMAX	53c	145$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.16	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed SemperFi Esports	24c	129.57$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.1	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked SemperFi Esports	15c	128.68$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	1,573	35.3%556 W · 1,017 L	+22.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed 3DMAX	76c	128$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.72	384	52.3%201 W · 183 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX	80c	127.08$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.97	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed SemperFi Esports	32c	125$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	207	32.4%67 W · 140 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed SemperFi Esports	21c	116.25$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.41	193	42%81 W · 112 L	-12.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked 3DMAX	50c	116.24$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.12	126	37.3%47 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3726…8521backed 3DMAX	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50df…d1e7backed SemperFi Esports	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed SemperFi Esports	26c	91$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.41	1,378	45.2%623 W · 755 L	+17.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcab6…4f45backed 3DMAX	79c	75.63$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.62	41	70.7%29 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked 3DMAX	67c	60$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.05	101	63.4%64 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x055a…d83bbacked 3DMAX	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed SemperFi Esports	36c	59$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.24	1,304	26.5%345 W · 959 L	-89.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed SemperFi Esports	36c	55.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.13	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc170…dfe9backed SemperFi Esports	24c	54.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	80	30%24 W · 56 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked SemperFi Esports	20c	51.82$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	498	49.6%247 W · 251 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked 3DMAX	60c	50.2$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.2	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x776b…1611backed 3DMAX	58c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed 3DMAX	77c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	191	55.5%106 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked SemperFi Esports	29c	48.86$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed 3DMAX	75c	45.95$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.53	388	44.6%173 W · 215 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed 3DMAX	69c	43.7$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.7	377	52%196 W · 181 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed 3DMAX	62c	43$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.46	958	49.8%477 W · 481 L	-17.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89bc…a463backed 3DMAX	61c	32.79$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.79	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed SemperFi Esports	41c	30.17$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.37	432	39.1%169 W · 263 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked SemperFi Esports	41c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	489	48.7%238 W · 251 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5309…c6c7backed 3DMAX	78c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	151	51.7%78 W · 73 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked 3DMAX	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	446	41.3%184 W · 262 L	-28.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed 3DMAX	56c	20.89$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.19	77	64.9%50 W · 27 L	+8.5wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6bbb…2948backed 3DMAX	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	170	70%119 W · 51 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	71cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x930e…adbdbacked 3DMAX	78c	13.56$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.98	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 13DMAX won
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs SemperFi Esports (+1.5)3DMAX won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event