TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof 3DMAX, SemperFi Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8375…ba1dbacked 3DMAX65c5,015$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.46848.5%33 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed SemperFi Esports29c3,522$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.0224550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked SemperFi Esports29c2,891$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.415635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed 3DMAX67c2,224$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.419351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked SemperFi Esports35c1,803$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.737,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked SemperFi Esports24c1,637$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.7961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked 3DMAX66c1,530$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.781751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX60c1,501$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.63,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed SemperFi Esports25c1,257$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.611,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SemperFi Esports13c1,184$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.125,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked SemperFi Esports36c1,127$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.8926438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked 3DMAX69c1,088$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.335850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed SemperFi Esports29c1,064$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.466,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed SemperFi Esports36c1,028$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.65,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked SemperFi Esports35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35017042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x568c…fbd0backed 3DMAX64c867.19$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.192560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed SemperFi Esports32c858$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.4120942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed 3DMAX67c742.25$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2755343.2%239 W · 314 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8581…e74dbacked SemperFi Esports36c656.2$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.783360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed SemperFi Esports39c558$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.439340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5f7…7714backed 3DMAX78c548.3$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.219048.9%93 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed 3DMAX76c520.68$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9645859%270 W · 188 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked SemperFi Esports7c457.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed SemperFi Esports35c447.84$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0219342%81 W · 112 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked SemperFi Esports37c447.56$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.66043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…f764backed 3DMAX67c419.78$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.533754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6a…dd64backed 3DMAX67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.131471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed 3DMAX66c330.35$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.329260.9%56 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed 3DMAX73c309.05$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.541960.9%255 W · 164 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed SemperFi Esports35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10083643.5%364 W · 472 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3635…1afdbacked SemperFi Esports28c285.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.033240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed 3DMAX65c277.76$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.815330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0b4…834ebacked 3DMAX73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.979561.1%58 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed SemperFi Esports37c273.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX67c264.72$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.434,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eca…2872backed 3DMAX73c263.96$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.962638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed SemperFi Esports41c246.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021947.5%104 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked SemperFi Esports18c224.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.371,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dfe…d83fbacked 3DMAX76c205.01$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.658356.6%47 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked SemperFi Esports21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4249849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed SemperFi Esports20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4045544.4%202 W · 253 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed SemperFi Esports29c195.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5741850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 3DMAX71c187.45$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.443,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed SemperFi Esports26c175$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.751,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked SemperFi Esports27c175$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.752,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed SemperFi Esports29c165.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.854,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed 3DMAX74c162.82$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.817060%42 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed 3DMAX70c160.14$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6522564.9%146 W · 79 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked 3DMAX66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5245162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed SemperFi Esports18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.52,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked SemperFi Esports33c150$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed 3DMAX67c149.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6918447.8%88 W · 96 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…8cf6backed 3DMAX73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991520%3 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed 3DMAX61c119$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.891,48958%863 W · 626 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed SemperFi Esports19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020732.4%67 W · 140 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed 3DMAX69c101.56$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4728844.1%127 W · 161 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked SemperFi Esports16c101.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.480741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed SemperFi Esports20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017247.7%82 W · 90 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed 3DMAX80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011450.9%58 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked 3DMAX63c90$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3325143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked SemperFi Esports15c90$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7510227.5%28 W · 74 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked SemperFi Esports21c88.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.194030%12 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked 3DMAX65c87.69$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.694660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed SemperFi Esports20c84.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8838844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked 3DMAX60c83.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2812637.3%47 W · 79 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed 3DMAX67c82.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6542751.5%220 W · 207 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed SemperFi Esports30c82.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed 3DMAX76c77$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.291,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x461f…8719backed SemperFi Esports41c75.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3112544.8%56 W · 69 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2baf…f66ebacked 3DMAX62c73.09$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.436732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed 3DMAX73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f5…4e04backed SemperFi Esports36c68.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-56.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked SemperFi Esports28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.870423.9%168 W · 536 L+2.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed SemperFi Esports34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024350.6%123 W · 120 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed SemperFi Esports37c58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.461,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked 3DMAX66c54.96$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.562254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed 3DMAX77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9527556.4%155 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3726…8521backed 3DMAX70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158145.7%37 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4814…9a18backed 3DMAX73c47.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.953243.8%14 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe4bf…c71ebacked 3DMAX64c47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.923450%17 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24de…da7fbacked 3DMAX66c45.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.53425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0146…e924backed SemperFi Esports27c44.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.18520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfdc…0133backed 3DMAX67c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked 3DMAX70c42.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5360857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed SemperFi Esports30c41.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4643239.1%169 W · 263 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed SemperFi Esports36c40.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4761638.1%235 W · 381 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed 3DMAX75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1037851.9%196 W · 182 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked SemperFi Esports38c39.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9970036.1%253 W · 447 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…16c7backed 3DMAX80c36.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed 3DMAX60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262938.3%241 W · 388 L-17.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cde…3a5fbacked 3DMAX68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff2…cf14backed 3DMAX60c20.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.336457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bbb…2948backed 3DMAX72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.617070%119 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bb…843abacked 3DMAX64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked 3DMAX76c15.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.619659.7%117 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.