Earnings · resolved market
Will U-Haul (UHAL.B) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f94e86f0a33fd5d735e2b1ee3f83a21d3387bfd0d6d90fb0beed245f0941b46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 52c | 310.93$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.9 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 38c | 300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73be…9a59backed No | 73c | 272.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 256.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 26c | 231.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…80fcbacked No | 72c | 210.74$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed No | 77c | 192.54$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 56c | 177.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…67b6backed Yes | 27c | 164.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked Yes | 32c | 162.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 263 | 50.2%132 W · 131 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 22c | 154.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…aa24backed No | 42c | 151.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac51…3f9ebacked Yes | 34c | 151$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 21c | 134.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed No | 70c | 128.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…d1fdbacked No | 78c | 127.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 26c | 101.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819e…e967backed Yes | 75c | 101.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…e8a1backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…a1a7backed Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…1342backed Yes | 40c | 97.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed No | 60c | 91.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…85dabacked Yes | 65c | 84.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 26c | 84.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…0a65backed Yes | 40c | 83.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…050cbacked Yes | 32c | 77.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked No | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…5f1cbacked No | 77c | 64.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…90c1backed Yes | 41c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…e862backed No | 72c | 55.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…4a49backed Yes | 38c | 52.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…838bbacked Yes | 34c | 52.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 30c | 50.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…0db8backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…ddd5backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…a716backed No | 76c | 46.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 79c | 45.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 31c | 43.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 28c | 38.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…17acbacked Yes | 39c | 37.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 68c | 35.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…c84dbacked No | 77c | 33.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…9f02backed No | 68c | 33.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 71c | 28.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 59c | 27.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ef14backed No | 78c | 25.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…c4d5backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…dd0fbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b84…5061backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.4wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 60c | 19.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…e1f4backed No | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf7…4307backed No | 75c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.