Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f3d4129264659f9f24feb846e51c7bf7bdbf502f613bf9f7f30daafac061fa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,316 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,761$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,589$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…c2dfbacked Yes | 7c | 2,383$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.12 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d87…f13cbacked Yes | 47c | 2,322$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.76 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 2c | 1,073$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked No | 63c | 794.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.6 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 7c | 648.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 5c | 590.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 33c | 471.29$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.38 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed No | 50c | 399.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…093fbacked Yes | 5c | 399.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 13c | 349$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1f…1df2backed Yes | 4c | 326.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 26c | 312.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…36f4backed No | 48c | 300.11$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.34 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…fb46backed Yes | 49c | 299.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 20c | 299.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 293.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 61c | 284.58$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed Yes | 23c | 241.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 67c | 238.4$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…8032backed Yes | 33c | 230.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 48c | 220.41$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 48c | 215.19$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 45c | 213$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…b176backed Yes | 48c | 210.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…e400backed Yes | 52c | 192.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 53c | 189.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 34c | 175.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 9c | 170$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a5…5737backed Yes | 24c | 158.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 37c | 157.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…72a6backed No | 48c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…bfd3backed Yes | 36c | 146.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaba…23f5backed No | 69c | 144.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…9059backed No | 66c | 142.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 53c | 135.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…e412backed Yes | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 35c | 129.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41a…0fd7backed Yes | 53c | 114$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked No | 50c | 113.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 79c | 108.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Yes | 13c | 108.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 133 | 15%20 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed24…1b47backed Yes | 28c | 101.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 34c | 101.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 33.9%59 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 30c | 99.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 44c | 88.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 60c | 83.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 80.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 37c | 78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 27c | 77.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeee…7c09backed No | 75c | 74.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 37c | 72.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 71.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…c055backed Yes | 43c | 69.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed No | 53c | 65.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 50c | 59.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 49c | 57.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 51c | 55.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…2c71backed Yes | 58c | 55.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…0e79backed No | 56c | 53.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…49e3backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…c66bbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db6…4894backed Yes | 53c | 49.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…b2aebacked Yes | 41c | 48.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…dbe8backed Yes | 63c | 47.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…cdc1backed Yes | 61c | 43.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf748…8183backed No | 43c | 42.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 35c | 39.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 51c | 39.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…e247backed Yes | 52c | 38.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…8d1fbacked No | 77c | 38.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 49c | 37.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 33c | 36.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…a2f8backed No | 71c | 35.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 118 | 72.9%86 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…636fbacked Yes | 35c | 33.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 76c | 32.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5504…665dbacked No | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…f641backed No | 75c | 27.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…3377backed No | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…0c4ebacked No | 52c | 24.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…d87abacked No | 64c | 18.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 65c | 17.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be4…3128backed No | 66c | 17.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…78c9backed No | 75c | 16.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…ae7dbacked No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.