TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb917…c055

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT6173.8%45 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$30.11
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$13.8
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$28.7
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.8
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.9
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$54.34
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$103.4
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$85.8
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$76.18
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$25.26
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 203.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.16
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$28.11
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+157.5%+$16.97
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$23.42
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.55
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.55
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$86.37
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$121.46
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.96
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$178.15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$31
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$144.35
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42%+$131.68
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$28.47
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+283.2%+$132.84
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.51
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$179.22
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,461.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$217.81
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$183.76
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$30.3
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
All 23 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$16.83
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+139.4%+$41.16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$17.05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or higher on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.61
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+178.4%+$48.88
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.85
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+171%+$64.98
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$69.85
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+64%+$12.79
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$12.31
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.