Asian League · resolved market
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79b53fcfa0eeb60f606bdeb6ab0fe380a4d2f7f9cad2b7e9f7b6759d037e720a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,260 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 15c | 9,427$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.96 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 2c | 5,446$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked No | 33c | 4,802$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 70c | 4,236$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.84 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 19c | 3,598$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a73…fb6ebacked No | 11c | 2,495$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 68c | 2,092$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.58 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 8c | 2,037$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.92 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Yes | 73c | 1,643$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.56 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 27c | 1,249$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.9 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 32c | 1,072$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.48 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 42c | 499.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed No | 19c | 405.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 25c | 354.05$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 73c | 269.26$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 9c | 237.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 43c | 183.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed Yes | 16c | 143$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +98%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed No | 27c | 109.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…855fbacked Yes | 57c | 102.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 92.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 56c | 89.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…59c2backed Yes | 67c | 87.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 69c | 83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Yes | 60c | 69.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Yes | 64c | 55.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 43c | 55.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 70c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 73c | 30.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…c055backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Yes | 70c | 29.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 55c | 22.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…e36bbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 68c | 17.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Yes | 71c | 17.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.