Tennis · resolved market
Metepec: Andres Andrade vs Alexis Galarneau
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79676780c08782f339cfd42597805a3a2c15d54bb814157ac6b209e62f49fa22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galarneauof Andrade, Galarneau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Andrade | 60c | 4,233$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.16 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Andrade | 56c | 3,198$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.69 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Galarneau | 29c | 2,413$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.88 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Galarneau | 29c | 2,057$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.54 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed Andrade | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Andrade | 65c | 1,607$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.8 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Andrade | 50c | 1,499$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.36 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Galarneau | 47c | 1,209$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.81 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Galarneau | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Galarneau | 25c | 937.79$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.46 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Galarneau | 32c | 889.13$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Andrade | 56c | 795.51$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.98 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Galarneau | 32c | 733$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.6 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Andrade | 36c | 709.75$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Andrade | 70c | 598.61$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.03 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Galarneau | 54c | 591.26$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.53 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…9f0abacked Galarneau | 53c | 567.46$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.71 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Galarneau | 53c | 543.04$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.39 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Andrade | 73c | 480.01$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Galarneau | 39c | 409.88$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.62 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Andrade | 73c | 400$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Galarneau | 30c | 321.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.56 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…8f3bbacked Andrade | 45c | 277.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Galarneau | 54c | 272$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Galarneau | 52c | 257$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Galarneau | 21c | 248.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.63 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Andrade | 58c | 216.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Andrade | 41c | 215.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Galarneau | 36c | 185.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.69 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Galarneau | 41c | 173.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 681 | 39.1%266 W · 415 L | -30.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44e5…3c33backed Galarneau | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Andrade | 48c | 145.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Andrade | 49c | 144.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Galarneau | 49c | 135.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Galarneau | 48c | 135.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Andrade | 46c | 128$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Galarneau | 35c | 126$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Andrade | 28c | 121.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Andrade | 45c | 120.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 556 | 41.2%229 W · 327 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Andrade | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Andrade | 59c | 99.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Galarneau | 36c | 96.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Andrade | 47c | 90.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Galarneau | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 271 | 47.2%128 W · 143 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Andrade | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…25f8backed Andrade | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…9178backed Andrade | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1d…f24fbacked Andrade | 47c | 60.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Andrade | 46c | 60.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Galarneau | 53c | 59.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Andrade | 23c | 53.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Galarneau | 53c | 53.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Galarneau | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Andrade | 43c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Galarneau | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Andrade | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Galarneau | 52c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Andrade | 53c | 36.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…9095backed Andrade | 47c | 31.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Galarneau | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Andrade | 73c | 28.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Galarneau | 48c | 24.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Galarneau | 49c | 24.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Andrade | 57c | 23.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Galarneau | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 796 | 53%422 W · 374 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb363…9544backed Andrade | 48c | 21.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Galarneau | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1686…cf5abacked Andrade | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Andrade | 69c | 15.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.