TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf110…9095

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category MLB at 50 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.67
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.6
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.67
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.38
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.36
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.41
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.49
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.88
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.64
Mexican Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$31.23
Tigre 2: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.07
Dubai Tennis Championships: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.25
Tigre: Lautaro Midon vs Guido Justobacked Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Metepec: Andres Andrade vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Rio Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+68.5%+$10.97
Delray Beach Open: Coleman Wong vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.4%+$27.71
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+90.9%+$27.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UAB Blazers vs. Memphis Tigersbacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Spread: Memphis Tigers (-6.5)backed Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.