TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rio Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alejandro Tabilo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tabiloof Tirante, Tabilo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$240,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Tirante37c38,070$13,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,904.112,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Tirante39c14,000$5,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,459.9610541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Tabilo64c12,256$7,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,440.011,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tirante12c9,315$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.768,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Tirante21c8,236$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.972,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade0…e568backed Tabilo62c7,375$4,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,816.076344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Tabilo61c7,370$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,870.3135247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Tabilo61c6,215$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.6224643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Tabilo60c6,017$3,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.8311242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tabilo57c5,777$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.287,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Tirante39c5,160$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.476146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tabilo62c4,016$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.243,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tirante27c3,691$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.062,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a56…6fa5backed Tirante25c2,804$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70050%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf224…ea75backed Tirante20c2,529$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.481546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Tirante26c2,331$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.482,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Tabilo61c2,290$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.6220847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Tirante38c2,151$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.9128338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Tabilo62c1,740$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.4358753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Tabilo60c1,673$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.035860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Tirante45c1,557$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Tabilo71c1,556$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.5273745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Tabilo57c1,481$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.4638739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Tabilo61c1,311$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.4814250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Tabilo70c1,289$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.7997046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…5b3abacked Tabilo61c1,078$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.586767.2%45 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Tirante41c983.17$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020748.3%100 W · 107 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Tirante34c900$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.7916648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Tirante39c850.11$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.3493055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Tirante18c850$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8513134.4%45 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c2…3fc7backed Tirante5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Tabilo59c676.31$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.3116665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Tirante29c635.15$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3538931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tabilo73c574.27$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2657252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Tabilo52c555.56$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.5612445.2%56 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Tirante39c542.43$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b0…02c6backed Tirante6c541.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.29807.5%6 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Tirante36c540.98$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.171,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Tabilo58c523.48$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.192,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Tirante20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b4…150ebacked Tirante40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014947%70 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Tabilo61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19512861.7%79 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Tirante20c491.55$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9910943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Tabilo46c465.5$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.392548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Tirante27c463.24$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.361,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Tirante8c456.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.273417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Tirante34c446.54$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.616,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Tirante42c442.45$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8537339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb8…56ecbacked Tirante7c432.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011256.3%63 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Tabilo61c424.59$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.593855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Tirante38c417$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0667239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tabilo73c415.34$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1688455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Tirante11c410.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6630254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Tabilo62c393.86$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4960641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Tabilo68c392.8$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.850364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Tirante24c366$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.421,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Tirante14c360.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tirante41c359.98$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.591,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Tirante39c359$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.011,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6094…e860backed Tabilo73c349.58$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.582356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Tabilo61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8717955.9%100 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Tabilo62c325$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.56953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Tabilo60c322.7$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8552037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Tirante12c311$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5416133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Tabilo78c295$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6169249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Tirante27c290$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2853644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Tirante37c286.05$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.24,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Tirante28c273.07$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.324,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Tirante19c262.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.85521.8%12 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Tirante39c256.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.221,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked Tabilo79c253.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2521767.7%147 W · 70 L-0.8wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ce…9e59backed Tirante5c250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1d…f11bbacked Tirante40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009663.5%61 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Tabilo61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.923353.2%124 W · 109 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea3…b910backed Tabilo61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.94658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Tabilo78c243.58$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.731,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Tabilo55c212$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8815648.7%76 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Tirante38c193.65$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.542,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ce…bdcfbacked Tabilo61c189.84$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.046168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Tirante40c177$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.81,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37cc…f862backed Tabilo58c172.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.882441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Tabilo61c171$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8860055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tabilo70c170.42$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.86,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Tabilo61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9365652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Tabilo61c163.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Tirante25c152$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4399044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Tirante41c141.46$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5819531.3%61 W · 134 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Tirante34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.628543.5%124 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Tabilo62c137.1$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.135268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Tabilo61c133.95$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2451849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Tirante40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Tirante39c125$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7538133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Tirante39c123.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.917,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Tirante21c117.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Tirante43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked Tabilo61c110$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4511465.8%75 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…6865backed Tabilo62c108.34$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf303…7ee6backed Tabilo62c104.84$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8413066.9%87 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Tabilo59c104$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6420043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Tirante38c100.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.043,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.