Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Lautaro Midon vs Guido Justo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x041bd5215f41408391ead95328a86f426ee43623cc572217bbd1e7523e97be64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Justoof Midon, Justo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Justo | 45c | 4,164$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.7 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Midon | 51c | 3,923$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Justo | 59c | 2,104$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Justo | 20c | 1,118$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.29 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Justo | 52c | 827.54$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.16 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Midon | 71c | 761.87$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.2 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Justo | 46c | 719$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.26 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Midon | 47c | 683.69$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.15 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Midon | 76c | 600$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Midon | 46c | 545.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Justo | 45c | 532.32$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.37 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Midon | 55c | 473.66$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.51 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Midon | 55c | 416.36$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Midon | 49c | 409.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Midon | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Midon | 55c | 360.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Justo | 45c | 267$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.85 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Midon | 30c | 252.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Midon | 54c | 252$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.08 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Midon | 32c | 241.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Midon | 26c | 232.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Midon | 58c | 206$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Justo | 52c | 191.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Midon | 55c | 182.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Midon | 56c | 169.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Justo | 47c | 162.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Midon | 56c | 160.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…bd29backed Justo | 28c | 153.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Justo | 46c | 136.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Midon | 49c | 122.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Justo | 46c | 121.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Justo | 49c | 121$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Justo | 53c | 113$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Justo | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Midon | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Midon | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Justo | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Midon | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Justo | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Justo | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…25f8backed Midon | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Justo | 43c | 57.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Midon | 48c | 47.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Midon | 54c | 46.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Justo | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Justo | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Justo | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Midon | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Midon | 65c | 30.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Justo | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Midon | 55c | 28.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5303backed Midon | 48c | 27.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Midon | 72c | 25.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…9095backed Midon | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…b2adbacked Midon | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Midon | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Justo | 57c | 20.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigre: Lautaro Midon vs Guido Justothis page
- Midon vs. Justo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.