Tennis · resolved market
Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa277502f1594fa2656f93ede8df074ef1779de5a6b595f5ee8e6d5d877a85097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa678…bc50backed Over | 55c | 2,299$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.35 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +302%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over | 53c | 1,650$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.49 | 755 | 43.4%328 W · 427 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.01 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Under | 47c | 544.68$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 298.76$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.39 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 45c | 217$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Under | 45c | 202$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 45c | 183.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.37 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 51c | 181.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 47c | 123.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 45c | 122$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…1256backed Over | 51c | 121.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Under | 44c | 111$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Over | 45c | 72.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 363 | 39.4%143 W · 220 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 45c | 65.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Under | 47c | 55.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3c…2b52backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Under | 29c | 37.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…9095backed Over | 54c | 27.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…05ccbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Under | 76c | 16.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5this page
- Arthur Rinderknech vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Rinderknech vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 4 Winner: Rinderknech vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Rinderknech (+2.5)Rinderknech won
- Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.