Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Rinderknech (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06f8463d3ff43bfbbd9739fd5b13c12d8fe7f2bb86b5a658b8266830ed41b662
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rinderknechof Djokovic, Rinderknech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Rinderknech | 53c | 14,200$7,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,674.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Djokovic | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Djokovic | 47c | 3,777$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.18 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Rinderknech | 56c | 2,941$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.01 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 45c | 2,338$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.44 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Djokovic | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Rinderknech | 54c | 1,134$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.76 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rinderknech | 55c | 767.35$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.31 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…504cbacked Rinderknech | 56c | 632.14$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.14 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Djokovic | 44c | 555$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Djokovic | 44c | 480$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Djokovic | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Djokovic | 45c | 390.02$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.51 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Djokovic | 48c | 290$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Djokovic | 46c | 285$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Rinderknech | 43c | 275.16$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.19 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rinderknech | 48c | 258.18$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Djokovic | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rinderknech | 54c | 224.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Djokovic | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Rinderknech | 52c | 202.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.51 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Djokovic | 46c | 191.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…b252backed Djokovic | 66c | 185.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Rinderknech | 50c | 185.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | -11.2wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Rinderknech | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Rinderknech | 42c | 176.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Djokovic | 46c | 161.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Rinderknech | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Djokovic | 46c | 138.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Djokovic | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Djokovic | 70c | 117.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Djokovic | 58c | 114.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Rinderknech | 23c | 114.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Djokovic | 46c | 104.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Rinderknech | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Djokovic | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Rinderknech | 66c | 92.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Djokovic | 44c | 88.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Djokovic | 47c | 84.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Djokovic | 48c | 77.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Djokovic | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Rinderknech | 55c | 57.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Rinderknech | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Djokovic | 44c | 56.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Rinderknech | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Djokovic | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Rinderknech | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Rinderknech | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…60a2backed Rinderknech | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked Rinderknech | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Djokovic | 67c | 44.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked Djokovic | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Djokovic | 48c | 32.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…8cacbacked Rinderknech | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 213 | 61.5%131 W · 82 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Djokovic | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Rinderknech | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Rinderknech (+2.5)this page
- Arthur Rinderknech vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Rinderknech vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 4 Winner: Rinderknech vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.