Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1718ed5f5a12ae30796790b0b300702d819a4ecffed8f0b7cf9e4d9858c97a5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Rinderknech, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb83d…826fbacked Rinderknech | 7c | 464$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Rinderknech | 44c | 434.7$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rinderknech | 25c | 354$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Rinderknech | 31c | 341.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Djokovic | 59c | 264.74$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Djokovic | 71c | 245.38$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Djokovic | 57c | 210.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Djokovic | 76c | 198$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Djokovic | 63c | 184.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Djokovic | 76c | 183.72$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f9…9f14backed Rinderknech | 37c | 178.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Rinderknech | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…698bbacked Rinderknech | 45c | 88.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…a286backed Rinderknech | 32c | 71.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Djokovic | 73c | 68.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rinderknech | 24c | 68.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Rinderknech | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Djokovic | 61c | 49.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Rinderknech | 41c | 48.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Rinderknech | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Rinderknech | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…6fe9backed Djokovic | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4846…32e0backed Rinderknech | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Djokovic | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Djokovic | 62c | 28.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Djokovic | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Djokovic | 62c | 24.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs Djokovicthis page
- Arthur Rinderknech vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 2 Winner: Rinderknech vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 4 Winner: Rinderknech vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Rinderknech (+2.5)Rinderknech won
- Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.