Tennis · resolved market
Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95fdacd7951fbc8ac1378fe973a1fcb103787cd6a32fa4b56e45dcaa8bb6187f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.98 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 6,291$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.04 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Under | 41c | 4,983$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.86 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…15a3backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 41c | 1,942$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.05 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 61c | 1,640$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.58 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 50c | 1,144$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.42 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Under | 40c | 809.92$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.03 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2690…4089backed Under | 39c | 685.09$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.18 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 41c | 481.11$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.98 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Over | 61c | 422.54$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.35 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 47c | 409.13$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.29 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 40c | 365.66$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.26 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 40c | 320$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under | 40c | 305.32$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.27 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 52c | 304.22$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 39c | 294.26$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 39c | 254.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 40c | 234$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 40c | 211$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 65c | 172.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 52c | 169$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 168.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 55c | 164.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Over | 62c | 156.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 35c | 142.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 38c | 137$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 58c | 130.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Under | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 57c | 118$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 56c | 107.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 40c | 101.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 68c | 99.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 14c | 97.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 54c | 92.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 36c | 83.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Under | 50c | 76.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 38c | 61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Under | 40c | 60.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Over | 57c | 58.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 58c | 46.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 51c | 46.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…755dbacked Over | 62c | 41.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 65c | 36.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 37c | 35.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 32c | 34.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Over | 41c | 26.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…2e8abacked Under | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -5.5wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…2c5ebacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5this page
- Arthur Rinderknech vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Rinderknech vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 4 Winner: Rinderknech vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Rinderknech (+2.5)Rinderknech won
- Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.