Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81e882a1d748c72d867a37c5cf136de90f9b08ad6b946cab64186d8b646600d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Djokovic, Rinderknech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Rinderknech | 32c | 3,330$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.18 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…c216backed Djokovic | 77c | 2,522$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Rinderknech | 23c | 1,935$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.99 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Djokovic | 69c | 1,299$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.02 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Djokovic | 74c | 1,030$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Djokovic | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Rinderknech | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rinderknech | 26c | 422.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 74c | 418.14$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.94 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Rinderknech | 27c | 263.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | -11.2wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Djokovic | 68c | 243.02$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Rinderknech | 42c | 231.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Djokovic | 58c | 231.86$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Rinderknech | 23c | 201.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Djokovic | 77c | 201.3$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Rinderknech | 31c | 199.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rinderknech | 25c | 197.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Rinderknech | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a9…2f1fbacked Djokovic | 75c | 170.28$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Djokovic | 68c | 164.69$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…7566backed Djokovic | 75c | 113.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Rinderknech | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Djokovic | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rinderknech | 25c | 70.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Djokovic | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Djokovic | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Djokovic | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…698bbacked Djokovic | 76c | 52.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…18a2backed Djokovic | 75c | 46.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Djokovic | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Djokovic | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Djokovic | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Rinderknech | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7def…3f98backed Djokovic | 76c | 27.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Djokovic | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)this page
- Arthur Rinderknech vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Rinderknech vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 4 Winner: Rinderknech vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Rinderknech (+2.5)Rinderknech won
- Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.