TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5eda…05cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Mls, grading 48 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Mls at 48 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-41.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Set 2 Winner: Swiatek vs Sakkaribacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$17.94
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.37
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17.92
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)backed Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Wimbledon WTA: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Rinderknech vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+146.2%+$17.81
Yibing Wu vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.2
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.03
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.84
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.26
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.82
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.1
All 17 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Union · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.