MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf159048bb1ccfb8f50337d9ed16fa77e69f47f6559d64eedeadf46d89b9ba3f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Tampa Bay Rays, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 20,309$11,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,357.43 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 18,462$7,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,570.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 8,104$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.48 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 2,249$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.41 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 1,967$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 1,736$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.13 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 1,024$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.32 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 67c | 1,010$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 6c | 999.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 798$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.22 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 751.31$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 71c | 585.94$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 513.25$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.7 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 431.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.04 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 370$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 312.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.07 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 188.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 172.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 149.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 149.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8c11backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 129.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 22c | 108.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 101.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 100.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 100.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 90.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…5c16backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 57.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 55.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 54.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 53.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 46.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 45.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 45.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 40.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 38.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 35.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 34.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 31.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…9095backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 27.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 24.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 22.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Chicago White Sox | 74c | 22.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago White Sox | 66c | 20.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 18.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Chicago White Sox | 66c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.