MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52a78d371c74321e7d3d7e36eefbe56e3b7f2bccc32e8b2ab2b3792088cbf1d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $394,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $396,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 72c | 255,237$182,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,646.96 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 28c | 200,000$57,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,000 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 45c | 97,668$43,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,717.17 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 48,824$26,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,850.25 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 55c | 25,500$14,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,025 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 55c | 25,320$13,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,922.95 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 32c | 24,468$7,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,829.53 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 18,356$8,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,359.19 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 23c | 10,690$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.7 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 8,965$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.88 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 5,096$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.36 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Under | 57c | 4,789$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.85 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Under | 45c | 3,800$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 2,815$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.59 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 45c | 2,250$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.5 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…7850backed Under | 47c | 1,943$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.62 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 47c | 1,441$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.06 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 1,235$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.32 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 54c | 975$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 55c | 890.76$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.92 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 645$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.75 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 27c | 487.72$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 474.59$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.66 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 53c | 429.97$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.19 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 54c | 387.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 31c | 365.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 46c | 346.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.37 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 31c | 322.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 45c | 243.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Over | 55c | 242.42$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 23c | 211.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 48c | 208.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…5cdcbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 55c | 185$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 180.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 55c | 179.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 54c | 170$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 55c | 158.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5c…a409backed Over | 27c | 152.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 53c | 140.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 17c | 133.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 48c | 127.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 124.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 55c | 115$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 55c | 109$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39a…69b1backed Under | 74c | 106.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Over | 28c | 97.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 28c | 90.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 38c | 74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 71.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 32c | 67.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 46c | 59.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…ede2backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 47.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Over | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…53c2backed Over | 55c | 44.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…749dbacked Under | 46c | 39.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 62c | 35.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 32c | 31.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…9095backed Over | 46c | 30.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…6872backed Under | 71c | 23.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 46c | 22.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 22.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 54c | 20.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…43ffbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…b2dbbacked Under | 53c | 19.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego PadresArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.