MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90f26565ba303e4ecd6ac5ed70239e3a946bcc04e3f454ecc286f9a16829e037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $590,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $626,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $590,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 84,178$51,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,488.1 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 50,000$19,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,699.95 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 47,254$16,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,685.31 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 46,998$20,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,836.53 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 44,181$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,180.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 22,082$10,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,924.16 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 21,157$15,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,202.22 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…fd63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 20,826$9,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,037.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 18,879$10,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,339.24 | 238 | 54.6%130 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 15,384$5,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,434.47 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 14,697$6,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,975.05 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 14,402$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 14,299$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,798.97 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 14,150$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.49 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 14,072$7,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,458.16 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 12,580$8,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.31 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 12,500$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.94 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 9,883$5,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,336.8 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 8,479$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.89 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 7,716$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.84 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 7,172$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865.38 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 7,061$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.67 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.98 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 5,450$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.32 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 5,221$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.32 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 4,340$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.6 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 4,311$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.89 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,674$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.7 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 3,545$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,336$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.87 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 2,916$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.15 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,911$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.82 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 2,863$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.2 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,766$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.96 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 80c | 2,521$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.19 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 2,445$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.58 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,158$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.32 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 74c | 2,086$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.2 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,077$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.83 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 2,014$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.45 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 1,945$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.3 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.43 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,620$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.44 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,596$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.68 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…a0bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 1,425$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,313$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.89 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Diego Padres | 14c | 1,268$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,250$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.25 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,194$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 1,185$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.17 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 1,172$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.23 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 1,155$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.44 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked San Diego Padres | 15c | 1,111$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,088$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked San Diego Padres | 29c | 1,000$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.18 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,000$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.29 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 951.36$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.22 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 943$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.94 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 875.19$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.65 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 750.28$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.32 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 695.85$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 664.88$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.84 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 611.11$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 594.07$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.53 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 78c | 592.56$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 576.01$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.92 | 99 | 28.3%28 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 565.96$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.3 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ee…a1ffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 560$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e36cbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 540.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 525.77$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.39 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc49…6e72backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 470$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.8 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 467.82$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.54 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 466.49$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 464.93$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.15 | 222 | 41%91 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 457.77$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.83 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 431.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.15 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 417$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.01 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 382.75$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.63 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 376.78$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.29 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 368.23$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.16 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…ca40backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 367$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.81 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 360.42$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…2536backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 358.59$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…4847backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 357.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 357.19$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 355.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.98 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…dd88backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 352.8$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.51 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a7…1fdbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 350$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.