Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x675240bba55bd74dc1a64620bb4b91e01a5a2699ee2cd8624c48d5ceac4c4821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 8c | 7,934$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.76 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…227fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,924$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.67 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 27c | 906.12$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 78c | 865.59$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.43 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…9913backed Yes | 27c | 847.56$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 23c | 804.25$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 620.44$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 22c | 613$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 32c | 555$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 21c | 472.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 18c | 361.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 17c | 352$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 333.79$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 30c | 333.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…0de2backed Yes | 34c | 294.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 24c | 250.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed3…16cabacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 18c | 202.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5a…2afdbacked Yes | 23c | 193.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…79bebacked Yes | 34c | 175.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 30c | 166.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 128.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 76c | 123.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 74c | 115.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes | 14c | 104.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 77c | 95.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Yes | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…4036backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 32c | 76.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 69.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 80c | 66.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 63.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…a0d8backed Yes | 22c | 59.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Yes | 28c | 55.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…4b80backed Yes | 22c | 53.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yes | 21c | 52.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…7aaabacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 77c | 48.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed No | 79c | 33.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 76c | 30.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…baecbacked No | 80c | 17.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e2…0638backed No | 80c | 16.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff7…4ae6backed No | 80c | 16.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…f513backed No | 80c | 15.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…6fddbacked No | 80c | 14.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…b43fbacked No | 80c | 14.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 14.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.